Sushil Srivastava, CPIM, CSCP, PMP, CISA, CDPSE’s Post

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Project Director leading Federal/Public Sector consulting at Oracle

From the desk of Prof.(Dr.) Sushil Srivastava, CPIM, CSCP, PMP, CISA, CDPSE August 4th 2024.... Who’s vulnerable in the Job Market with the advent of AI? Displacement and change in the job market can significantly affect workers and their families. The impact of automation is particularly concerning for those living paycheck to paycheck, as even a brief disruption could lead to immense stress. Millions of Americans may need to switch occupations to secure new means of livelihood. Identifying who is at risk of displacement is crucial, as the effects of automation vary across different occupations with skewed demographics. Looking beyond the risks, there are also opportunities. While low-wage jobs are on the decline, there is potential for individuals to secure higher-paying positions through skills training and increased employer willingness to take hiring risks. It is imperative for the United States to swiftly establish large-scale retraining programs and enhanced job-matching systems to facilitate successful transitions for individuals in the evolving job market landscape. The decline of low- and middle-wage jobs could continue as more high-wage jobs are added: The loss of middle-wage jobs and the resulting polarization in the job market is a well-documented historical trend. While the share of middle-wage jobs is likely to continue declining, our analysis finds that lower-wage jobs could see an even faster decrease, especially as office support customer service, and sales jobs continue to disappear. While the individuals in low-wage jobs today are most vulnerable due to shrinking demand in office support, customer service, and sales jobs, this also presents an opportunity to help them land better-paying jobs. Looking at this shift from a different vantage point, this could be a positive opportunity for more inclusive growth as the US economy rebalances toward higher-wage jobs. Training and less rigid hiring approaches will be essential to creating those pathways. Despite this overall rebalancing toward higher-wage jobs, it is important to note that some of the fastest-growing occupations are still some of the lowest-paying in the economy. Several of these are roles that provide vital social and economic infrastructure—most notably home healthcare aides, nursing assistants, and childcare workers. These jobs are disproportionately held by women. Meeting these needs, especially at a time when workers have more options, may depend on upgrading the quality of those jobs. Indeed, a shortage of childcare and elder care is already keeping some people out of the workforce. Pl. let me know your thoughts & views...

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