From the desk of Prof.(Dr.) Sushil Srivastava, CPIM, CSCP, PMP, CISA, CDPSE August 4th 2024.... Who’s vulnerable in the Job Market with the advent of AI? Displacement and change in the job market can significantly affect workers and their families. The impact of automation is particularly concerning for those living paycheck to paycheck, as even a brief disruption could lead to immense stress. Millions of Americans may need to switch occupations to secure new means of livelihood. Identifying who is at risk of displacement is crucial, as the effects of automation vary across different occupations with skewed demographics. Looking beyond the risks, there are also opportunities. While low-wage jobs are on the decline, there is potential for individuals to secure higher-paying positions through skills training and increased employer willingness to take hiring risks. It is imperative for the United States to swiftly establish large-scale retraining programs and enhanced job-matching systems to facilitate successful transitions for individuals in the evolving job market landscape. The decline of low- and middle-wage jobs could continue as more high-wage jobs are added: The loss of middle-wage jobs and the resulting polarization in the job market is a well-documented historical trend. While the share of middle-wage jobs is likely to continue declining, our analysis finds that lower-wage jobs could see an even faster decrease, especially as office support customer service, and sales jobs continue to disappear. While the individuals in low-wage jobs today are most vulnerable due to shrinking demand in office support, customer service, and sales jobs, this also presents an opportunity to help them land better-paying jobs. Looking at this shift from a different vantage point, this could be a positive opportunity for more inclusive growth as the US economy rebalances toward higher-wage jobs. Training and less rigid hiring approaches will be essential to creating those pathways. Despite this overall rebalancing toward higher-wage jobs, it is important to note that some of the fastest-growing occupations are still some of the lowest-paying in the economy. Several of these are roles that provide vital social and economic infrastructure—most notably home healthcare aides, nursing assistants, and childcare workers. These jobs are disproportionately held by women. Meeting these needs, especially at a time when workers have more options, may depend on upgrading the quality of those jobs. Indeed, a shortage of childcare and elder care is already keeping some people out of the workforce. Pl. let me know your thoughts & views...
Sushil Srivastava, CPIM, CSCP, PMP, CISA, CDPSE’s Post
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20 Jobs That Will Be in Demand in 2024 A recent article on AARP’s website indicates that older workers can expect a robust hiring climate this year. Click here to read about the “in-demand” jobs: https://lnkd.in/eHhg8RCF
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aarp.org
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Understanding the Gap Right now, the labor force participation rate is 62.7%, down from 63.3% in February 2020 and 67.2% in January 2001. There's not just one reason that workers are sitting out, but several factors have come together to cause the ongoing shortage. Factors Contributing to the Labor Shortage Early retirements and an aging workforce As of October 2021, the pandemic drove more than 3 million adults into early retirement. In all, the number of adults 55 and older being detached from the labor force due to retirement grew from 48.1% in Q3 of 2019 to 50.3% in Q3 2021. Additionally, the share of older individuals within the U.S. population is steadily increasing, and it’s likely this trend will continue. This shift is partly attributable to the fact that younger generations are having fewer children compared to their predecessors, resulting in a progressively older and diminishing population. Read more here: https://lnkd.in/eZY7Z_-B
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https://lnkd.in/e7Z92996 All of this speculation about labor market trends and no consideration of the caregiver employee conflicts that are impacting shortages! I just don't get the single mindedness. Then there is the conflict between whether older adults will stay in the work force or retire. That choice is better than forced retirement, even if it is a result of labor shortages. My guess is that we will see Millenials and "Zoomers" bridging many gaps, and older people continuing to work primarily as a result of financial necessity or desire to work part-time. Perhaps we should be incentivizing less popular positions, e.g. health related, and offering mentoring for senior management, as stated in this report. How about offering more apprenticeships in the trades? Apparently, many businesses will not be sustainable without focusing on recruitment and training. Clearly this trend will also impact other sectors; and, probably immigration reform, in the interest of filling jobs that Americans don't want to do, e.g. caregiving. Of course, immigration might be a remedy for the caregiver employee crisis so I would expect some movement there eventually. That would also help to mitigate the burden on employees. But we can't even pass aid for Ukraine and a bipartisan border control policy. 🤔 I do go on; but, in conclusion, we need to be more proactive. Have a good Sunday. Spring is on its way. #newagingpartnership #caregivingconfidential #labormarket #retirement
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forbes.com
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🔍 Reasons for the American Labor Shortage? 🔍 Ever wonder why so many jobs are unfilled? Here are a few points driving the U.S. labor shortage: Early Retirements 📉: Over 3 million people retired early during COVID, shrinking the workforce. Reduced Immigration 🌎: Net immigration is down by about 1 million since 2016. Childcare Challenges 👶: Lack of affordable childcare keeps many parents from working. Entrepreneurial Shift 💼: More than 10 million new businesses started in 2020-2021, drawing people out of the traditional workforce. Its an interesting shift, Want to discuss solutions? #LaborShortage #Recruiting #TalentAcquisition #WorkforceTrends #Hiring
Understanding America’s Labor Shortage
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What is Old or rather Who is New Again....Literally! "Older workers are bringing a whole different layer of experience - a savvy ability to problem-solve-that when you mix it with younger brackets, it produces a high amount of output." Yet, "many older workers don't feel supported in their growth once they reach the age society deems graying." What is happening in your workforce and at your Company? Who are you hiring? #workforce #DEI #employment
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fortune.com
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Abbott & Costello discuss how the Gov't counts unemployment numbers -- by Larry Levin: COSTELLO: I want to talk about the unemployment rate in America. ABBOTT: Good Subject. Terrible Times. It's 9%. COSTELLO: That many people are out of work? ABBOTT: No, that's 16%. COSTELLO: You just said 9%. ABBOTT: 9% Unemployed. COSTELLO: Right 9% out of work. ABBOTT: No, that's 16%. COSTELLO: Okay, so it's 16% unemployed. ABBOTT: No, that's 9%... COSTELLO: WAIT A MINUTE. Is it 9% or 16%? ABBOTT: 9% are unemployed. 16% are out of work. COSTELLO: If you are out of work you are unemployed. ABBOTT: No, you can't count the "Out of Work" as the unemployed. You have to look for work to be unemployed. COSTELLO: BUT THEY ARE OUT OF WORK!!! ABBOTT: No, you miss my point. COSTELLO: What point? ABBOTT: Someone who doesn't look for work can't be counted with those who look for work. It wouldn't be fair. COSTELLO: To whom? ABBOTT: The unemployed. COSTELLO: But they are ALL out of work. ABBOTT: No, the unemployed are actively looking for work... Those who are out of work stopped looking. They gave up. And, if you give up, you are no longer in the ranks of the unemployed. COSTELLO: So if you're off the unemployment roles, that would count as less unemployment? ABBOTT: Unemployment would go down. Absolutely! COSTELLO: The unemployment just goes down because you don't look for work? ABBOTT: Absolutely it goes down. That's how you get to 9%. Otherwise, it would be 16%. You don't want to read about 16% unemployment do ya? COSTELLO: That would be frightening. ABBOTT: Absolutely. COSTELLO: Wait, I got a question for you. That means there are two ways to bring down the unemployment number? ABBOTT: Two ways is correct. COSTELLO: Unemployment can go down if someone gets a job? ABBOTT: Correct. COSTELLO: And unemployment can also go down if you stop looking for a job? ABBOTT: Bingo. COSTELLO: So there are two ways to bring unemployment down, and the easier of the two is to just stop looking for work. ABBOTT: Now you're thinking like an economist. COSTELLO: I don't even know what the hell I just said! >>> And now you know why the unemployment numbers are just fabricated lies! #unemployment #BLS #employed #fake #lies #numbers
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https://www.counterpunch.org
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