"OpenAI basically set back progress towards AGI by probably 5 to 10 years. They caused this complete closing down of frontier research publishing. And now LLMs have sucked the oxygen out of the room" Provocative soundbite from François Chollet on Dwarkesh Patel's podcast. The increasing secrecy of frontier research has been a big disappointment - it is the opposite of the wonderful open source code & data momentum that has been steadily increasing over the years. On the other hand, the increased AI hype should bring more clever minds to the field, who spread their knowledge as they move employers or found their own businesses, and I would expect at least some of the capital fuelling the genAI boom will trickle into more AGI-like endeavours.
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Consulting in AI, Data, Photonics
5moTrying to parse the sound bite here. It assumes 1) we have a well defined idea of what constitutes AGI, 2) that idea is best pursued by a traditional open research model, 3) LLMs are not the most promising path to AGI. Each of those assumptions takes a lot of justifying.