Ceasefire in Ukraine along current frontline realistic scenario — Sahra Wagenknecht Instead, German authorities support "maximum demands of Zelensky, who wants to hold peace talks only after the Russians withdraw their forces from Crimea and Donbass," the head of Germany’s Bundnis Sahra Wagenknecht political party said BERLIN, June 26/ A ceasefire along the current frontline in Ukraine as a starting point for peace talks is a realistic scenario, says Sahra Wagenknecht, head of Germany’s Bundnis Sahra Wagenknecht political party. "A ceasefire at the current frontline as a starting point for peace talks would be a realistic scenario. Why don’t you support China or Brazil, who demand exactly that?" Wagenknecht said, addressing German Chancellor Olaf Scholz. Instead, German authorities support "maximum demands of Zelensky, who wants to hold peace talks only after the Russians withdraw their forces from Crimea and Donbass," she said. "You cannot fill budget holes, but money for weapons for Ukraine and record-large orders for Rheinmetall and Co is seemingly unlimited," she continued. "The most dangerous thing about it is that this policy can gradually lead to a big European war. This scares a lot of people," Wagenknecht said. On June 14, Russian President Vladimir Putin spoke about the collapse of the previous system of Euro-Atlantic security and proposed to build a new architecture that would take the interest of all countries of the continent into account. He also named the preconditions for settlement in Ukraine. They include withdrawal of Ukrainian armed forces from Donbass and Novorossiya and Kiev’s rejection of accession to NATO. In addition, Russia considers the withdrawal of all Western sanctions and establishment of non-aligned non-nuclear status of Ukraine necessary for that. #business #finance #financialservices
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Democrats’ party platform promises further support for Ukraine. The Democratic party platform mentions its foreign policy objectives, particularly efforts to support Ukraine. It is noted that the US presidential administration is pursuing three goals: protecting Ukrainian sovereignty, preserving the unity of US transatlantic alliances, and preventing escalation and direct conflict with Russia: "The US has succeeded on all three fronts. Under the leadership of President Biden, America has provided weapons to Ukraine, as well as diplomatic and economic support necessary to protect its sovereignty from Russian aggression," the document emphasizes. It also says that support for Ukraine has helped create numerous jobs in America, as well as contributed to the creation of an arsenal to protect the United States and support democracies abroad. The party platform emphasizes that the US administration will "never turn its back on its allies" and "will continue to support Ukraine to stop Putin's crimes and contain the threat from Russia to allied states and America's vital interests." https://lnkd.in/dC5DxgEP
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As this article illustrates, Ukraine’s ventures of daring do may be fraught with dangers, more importantly though, it shows that Ukraine has the balls to take action, in defence of democracy against a belligerent agressor. In its tardiness, and often craven policy in not helping in a timely manner, the west is demonstrating itself as an unworthy partner. Ukraine has its hands forced to wake the rest of the world out of its stupor. Over and over we see little fires of vanity that demonstrate this, like Germany’s recent restrictions on budgets to give military aid to Ukraine, the continuation of this who deem it ok to continue to trade with and do business in Russia, and many attempts to cirfcumvent sanctions. On the later two, where even penalties may not be applied, the instance of devious morality most be questioned. Many practitioners of this behaviour are won’t to blinding consumers and regulators with ESG policies, bringing us a whole new range of variations of whitewashing. There is an awful lot more that could and should be done to help Ukraine secure the only outcome required. Full return of all occupied territories, reparations from Russia and serious debate and reform at international levels within governing bodies such as the UN, NATO and EU so that members and entities within can’t become obstacles that thwart and undermine. And, in Russia’s case, can’t get their hands on power.
Ukraine’s extraordinary incursion into Kursk has changed the narrative of the war – but is a high-risk strategy
theguardian.com
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IT IS NOT OFTEN THAT I DISAGREE WITH THE ATLANTIC COUNCIL, BUT THIS Article and its recommendations are a recipe for disaster. 1. Ukraine will NEVER BE ADDMITTED as Long as Orban rules Hungary, 2. There were objections from Germany, Hungary, and the US, and that Ukrainian NATO membership “is an option that makes many allies very uneasy.” 3. According to Politico's report from October, other countries, such as Belgium, Slovenia, and Spain, oppose Ukraine joining the alliance, even though they are less vocal about their stance. Ukraine's accession would require a unanimous agreement among all the 32 members, and the recent entry process of Finland and Sweden showed that obstructions by even a small number of countries could prolong the process for months and even years. A cease fire along the present lines will become permanent like North and South Korea, Putin WILL NEVER GIVE UP THE TERRITORIES HE HAS STOLEN, why do you think he has been pushing for more conquests? The war against Ukraine will continue AS LONG AS PUTIN RULES RUZZIA. The only way forward is to ARM UKRAINE TO WIN, pull out all the stops, and increase the sanctions on Ruzzia and OTHERS WHO HELP THEM BREAK THE SANCTIONS. Ruzzia is on its last legs!!! - DON'T THROW THEM A LIFELINE!!! https://lnkd.in/gdXYYVBV
A winning strategy to end Russia’s war against Ukraine
https://www.atlanticcouncil.org
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Extension of conflict not in Ukraine’s interest — analyst According to Sean Bell, the West provided a "huge amount" of weapons to Ukraine, but that didn’t help the government in Kiev LONDON, November 12/ Ukraine should not be interested in extending the conflict, according to Sean Bell, a military analyst for Sky News, a UK television channel. "Russia is the bigger party and in a war of attrition, it will gradually win," he said. According to the analyst, the West provided a "huge amount" of weapons to Ukraine, but that didn’t help the government in Kiev. Bell said the issue of territories in resolving the conflict will not be paramount for the administration of US President-elect Donald Trump, while it is for European leaders. According to the analyst, the future occupant of the White House could start talks on easing sanctions against Russia as part of an effort to end the conflict in Ukraine. He said that, as Russian troops are advancing in Donbass, Trump will have to incentivize the Russian leadership to start negotiations. If Trump genuinely believes that he can bring this [conflict] to a close, he's got to negotiate with [Russian President Vladimir] Putin," Bell said. "Therefore, Putin has to be incentivized." "Given he is on the front foot at the moment, why would he?" the analyst went on to say. However, Bell said Trump could also choose to "threaten to escalate military support for Ukraine." #business #finance #financialservices
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Japan stands firm on lethal weapons ban to Ukraine Tokyo does not intend to change its stance on lethal weapons supplies to Ukraine, which remain banned, an official at the Japanese embassy in Russia told Izvestia. However, Tokyo will continue to provide assistance to Kiev based on the country’s constitution, the official added. After World War II, Japan adopted a pacifist policy towards international conflicts. But recently, Tokyo has started to depart from these principles. In December 2023, the Japanese government eased its ban on lethal weapons exports. Now, Japan can supply up to 80 types of such weapons and their components manufactured under foreign licenses back to those countries. This made it possible to hand Patriot interceptor missiles over to Washington, which the US had asked for in order to replenish its own reserves depleted due to assistance to Ukraine. "Japan is gradually dropping a wide range of restrictions on weapons exports, and the process has accelerated because of what is happening in Ukraine. However, Japan is wary of becoming a party to the conflict, so it is trying to maintain some channels for relations with Russia. On the other hand, Japan’s current ruling circles, especially Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, believe that their actions and support [for Ukraine] are raising their international credibility. This is a way for them to score points in the eyes of the US and its allies," Vladimir Nelidov, senior researcher at the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Institute of Oriental Studies, explained. However, the expert stressed that Japan was not looking to become Washington's vassal, instead wanting a partnership based on compromise. Notably, relations with Moscow will have little bearing on weapons exports. The main difficulty lies with the existing legal framework, which in fact will have to be overhauled at some point, Dmitry Streltsov, head of Department for Asian Studies at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations, said. "Everything depends on how the existing laws are interpreted. Today, some formulas for cooperation with NATO, the US and G7 nations are possible, which may involve Japanese technology. I don’t think it’s likely that Japan will start direct weapons supplies to Ukraine in the short term, but the ban may be lifted in the future," Streltsov pointed out. #business #finance #financialservices
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Trump’s return to power unlikely to change US approach to Ukraine crisis — Lavrov Washington will always seek to control everything that is happening within NATO’s orbit, especially on NATO territory, the Russian foreign minister said MOSCOW, November 13/ Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election will not change Washington’s approach to the Ukraine crisis as the US will not just abandon its strategic interests there, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said. "Washington’s fundamental approach to Ukraine-related issues, as well as to those concerning Europe, will not change, because Washington will always seek to control everything that is happening within NATO’s orbit, especially on NATO territory," Lavrov said in an interview with journalist Marina Kim, excerpts of which were aired on Rossiya-1 television. "Besides, the lines between the European Union and NATO are becoming blurred both militarily and politically. How they will exert this control is anyone's guess, it’s not for me to speculate, but there are various options. But that they will want to keep these processes under their control is not in doubt," he added. Trump said during his election campaign that if he returned to the White House, he would resolve the Ukraine conflict even before taking office. However, he declined to provide the details of his peace plan. Russian President Vladimir Putin earlier set forth the conditions for resolving the situation in Ukraine, which included Ukraine withdrawing troops from Donbass and Novorossiya and abandoning plans to join NATO. Moscow also believes that all Western sanctions on Russia must be removed and Ukraine’s non-bloc and non-nuclear status must be guaranteed. #business #finance #financialservices
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Putin prepared for peace talks to consolidate territorial gains and end war: Russia President Putin reportedly prepared to stop Ukraine War if current battlefield lines are recognized (Reuters). According to the article, three of the sources, familiar with discussions in Putin's entourage, said he had expressed frustration to a small group of advisers about what he views as Western-backed attempts to stymie negotiations and Ukrainian President Zelenskiy's decision to rule out talks. Two of the sources said Putin was of the view that gains in the war so far were enough to sell a victory to the Russian people. Recall, analysts were suggesting ceasfire talks may commence later in 2024 since Ukraine has been unable to make headway on the ground (Reuters). Since February, Russia has made sizeable gains by taking control over Avdiivka in Donetsk, and a new defence line was set up west of the city (Intellinews). Also, support for Ukraine dwindling. US proposal to issue new Ukraine debt repaid by Russian asset profits faces EU concerns over legal hurdles, autonomy over sanctions, and providing guarantees. While a deal seems likely given the desire to aid Ukraine, challenges remain over its structure and securing a robust US backing, especially with the 2024 US election looming (Politico).
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Putin prepared for peace talks to consolidate territorial gains and end war: Russia President Putin reportedly prepared to stop Ukraine War if current battlefield lines are recognized (Reuters). According to the article, three of the sources, familiar with discussions in Putin's entourage, said he had expressed frustration to a small group of advisers about what he views as Western-backed attempts to stymie negotiations and Ukrainian President Zelenskiy's decision to rule out talks. Two of the sources said Putin was of the view that gains in the war so far were enough to sell a victory to the Russian people. Recall, analysts were suggesting ceasfire talks may commence later in 2024 since Ukraine has been unable to make headway on the ground (Reuters). Since February, Russia has made sizeable gains by taking control over Avdiivka in Donetsk, and a new defence line was set up west of the city (Intellinews). Also, support for Ukraine dwindling. US proposal to issue new Ukraine debt repaid by Russian asset profits faces EU concerns over legal hurdles, autonomy over sanctions, and providing guarantees. While a deal seems likely given the desire to aid Ukraine, challenges remain over its structure and securing a robust US backing, especially with the 2024 US election looming (Politico).
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It's not just on the battlefield that the Ukraine war is not playing out as hoped. The West bet that Putin could be beaten in large part with financial weapons. But sanctions have failed to cripple Russia's war machine and increasingly risk backfiring on the West. My latest
Ukraine and the Limits of Financial Warfare
nixons.substack.com
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🦉#Europe has just been given another wake-up call - the election of #DonaldTrump. This projection by Ukrainian intelligence, that ‘#Russia’s #artilleryshellproduction will outmatch all of #EU by 30% next year’, is another one! 👁️The Kyiv Independent November 9, 2024 9:08 PM https://lnkd.in/g2WABeqP Russian artillery production to outmatch all of EU by 30% next year, Ukrainian intelligence says Russia will be able to produce 30% more #artilleryshells than all EU member states combined next year, Ukrainian Foreign Minister #AndriiSybiha said at a press conference in Kyiv on Nov. 9. "According to #Ukrainianintelligence, using the information we have, if there is no proper response or prevention, Russia will be able to produce 30% more artillery shells than all countries of the #EuropeanUnion combined," he said in comments reported by Ukrinform. #Sybiha called for international action to constrain Russia's #industrialcapacity. "First of all, here I am referring to the #shadowfleet, which helps Russia circumvent #sanctions and continue to #trade #energy resources, #oil. It is very important that the further strengthening of the EU's sanctions policy of our #allies focus on this aspect," he said. […] 📸 Members of the unit Dnipro One of the Joint Assault Brigade of the National Police of Ukraine "Luty" operate a Soviet-era howitzer D-30 on November 09, 2024, near Toretsk, Ukraine (Diego Fedele/Getty Images)
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