Sabhareesh Muralidaran’s Post

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Building Ripik (Vision AI for manufacturing) | Early stage investor | IITG

Advent International is investing INR 2475 cr (~$3bn) in Apollo Hospitals's subsidiary, Apollo HealthCo. The transaction will also see the merger of its wholesale pharma distribution unit Keimed Private Limited and online healthcare business Apollo 24|7 under Apollo HealthCo. The background: Apollo HealthCo= Keimed (B2B pharma distribution) + Apollo 24 7 (online pharma) Apollo HealthCo, the digital health and services business of Apollo Hospitals, has been pressuring the hospital operator's bottom line, hurt by its cash-guzzling pharmacy business Apollo 24/7. Apollo HealthCo posted a loss for the sixth straight quarter in February. Advent International is a global PE with 17 investments (~$5.8bn since 2009) in India (12 current, 5 exits). Its other Indian healthcare investments include Cohance Lifesciences, Suven Pharmaceuticals and Bharat Serums and Vaccines Limited. Is it a good deal? The market doesn't think so! Shares of Apollo Hospitals Enterprise dropped 8% in opening trade on Apr 29 as investors were disappointed with the valuations offered in the deal. According to the deal, it valued Apollo 24 7 at $1.7bn and Keimed at $9.6bn Nuvama Group said while the deal was long overdue, the valuation commanded by Apollo 24/7 at $1.7 bn is lower than the estimated $2.7 bn. It not only comes as a negative surprise but also a huge letdown. The brokerage also said doubling Keimed's valuation for the deal, just within a year also seemed aggressive. Jefferies also shared the same view on Apollo 24 7's valuation While Prabhudas Lilladher Private Limited also acknowledged that the stake sale of Apollo HealthCo was done at a discounted valuation, it sees the merger of Keimed with the arm as a positive step as it removes overhang of any cost leakages. That with the added management guidance of growing EBITDA gives them comfort Future Outlook: According to the management commentary, the combined entity is expected to deliver Rs 25,000 ($3bn) crore of revenue in 3 yrs with 7-8% EBITDA, up from around Rs 13,600 crore and 1.5% now. This is an EBITDA growth of about 9x in 3 years! This growth will be achieved through Apollo 24/7 breakeven in ~2 years, higher margin realization through supply chain efficiencies, and accelerated growth in the private label business Though pharmacies in India are growing at 12% YoY, Apollo believes that large players like themselves can easily grow at 20-25% YoY It seems that Apollo was a bit desperate to inject in money and was okay with taking a slightly below-par deal. That said, this deal should reduce the drag from 24/7's operating cost (and cash burn) and strengthen both its pharmacy and hospital businesses. The merged entity could also leverage Keimed’s over 70,000 store network to push private label sales and unlock synergies. #healthcare #apollo #advent #privateequity #india #apollo247 #pharma #pharmacy

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