Responsible Public Affairs’ Post

Had a fascinating conversation with Mr Antoine Tayar about a hypothetical scenario: “What if Canadians could vote in the US election?”— It sparked some interesting insights about the priorities and perspectives of both countries. What are your thoughts? Who would Canadians side with? #USelection #Canada #InternationalRelations #Politics

Biden or Trump: who would Canadians vote for …hypothetically? A very interesting interview on the morning show Canada Express with Rania B. Nassif on Middle East Radio during which we discussed Canadians’ preference and concerns about the upcoming US presidential elections. Generally speaking, over the past 40 years, polls indicated Canadians preferred Republican presidential candidates over Democrat rivals. Chances of Trump regaining power worry Canadians who according to various polls would vote 3 for 1 for Biden or Trump respectively. Polls indicated nonetheless that Canadians believe Trump might end up elected in November 2024, and they fear a worsening of Canada-U.S. relations in this case. While many Canadians are likely to say that a Biden victory would be better for the Canadian economy than a Trump given the latter impulsiveness and deeply protectionist instincts, the many others aren’t convinced it would matter either way for Canada because both candidates are ‘America Firsters’ especially when it comes to trade, defence agreements, global peace and security, and the overall Canada-U.S. relationship. US influence has always been predominant, despite some margin of manoeuvring Canada tries to have but to a limited extent considering that it shares with the US its unique international border, the longest in the world. President Kennedy once said: “Geography has made us neighbours. History has made us friends. Economics has made us partners. And necessity has made us allies. Those whom nature hath so joined together, let no man put asunder. What unites us is far greater than what divides us.” Whomever ends up making his way to the White House, and whatever difficult may situation be, Canadian politicians should always remember this wise comment about US and Canada relations by the famous Brian Mulroney, whose funerals were this week: “We can disagree, without being disagreeable”. (My full interview in Arabic herebelow) 👉 https://lnkd.in/eHCfh4yh #uselections2024 #Biden2024 #TRUMP2024ToSaveAmerica #AmericaFirst #uscanadarelations #polling #republicanvsdemocrates #brianmulroney #radiointerview #raniabn #meradio #canadaexpress

Watch #ARO's CIO, Ahmed Jaber, IMC live on Al Arabiya News Channel discussing the latest in #EmergingMarkets and #FrontierMarkets and the impact of European and US elections as policymakers influence economic shifts and investment opportunities ahead. 🌍💵 #AIMWITHARO #العربية_Business

The United States is at a crossroads.. Who will the American voter vote for? | Up for discussion. I joined a panel of four speakers on القاهرة الإخبارية AlQaheraNewsTv- القاهرة الإخبارية to discuss the #Trump-#Harris debate on #ABCNews. Interestingly enough, we all agreed that there was no clear winner in the debate, and that the speakers failed to sufficiently highlight their positive plans. Some of the points that I raised: * Harris's economic plan was more of a gathering of disjointed and unclear points, and her message of "growth" was contradicted by high spending, #inflation, and inability to move away from #Biden or to formulate a coherent #energy policy. * #Harris's strongest points were her responses on #Ukraine issue and her ability to articulate at least a limited clear policy on #China in terms of achieving technical superiority and moving away from dependency on #China goods. #Trump made a mess of his #Ukraine answer, and his praise of assorted authoritarian leaders did him no favors. - Overall, independent and undecided voters will not learn anything they did not already know about the two candidates, which means that the debate will likely have a short-term and limited impact, regardless of how the polls judge the outcome. #politics #elections #elections2024 #GOP #Biden #KamalaHarris #Republicans #Democrats #economy #energy #China #Ukraine #foreignpolicy #foreignaffairs #diplomacy #geopolitics

Delighted to be hosted by Nouf Hijazi on Al Arabiya News Channel as we discussed the performance of #EmergingMarket and #FrontierMarket currencies during 1H24, as well as the risks, and opportunities ahead. We also delved into shifts in asset allocation and what this means for #EmergingMarkets, especially with the #USmarkets holding 64% of the global equity market cap—the highest in five decades. A shift in allocation could bring significant inflows to other markets, particularly #EmergingMarkets and #FrontierMarkets. Tune in to catch my insights on how global growth will shape the economic landscape and what this could mean for both investors and businesses.

Experts believe that the battle for control of Congress is no less important than the presidential election. I made my debut on #Jordan's AlMamlaka TV - قناة المملكة to join a panel discussing Congressional #elections2024 in the US, and the impact of the presidential races on these developments. This was my first time in any Jordanian #media, and a fun experience. Some of the points that I raised: - On the question of what makes this election different, one of the major factors I cited is the fact that both of the presidential candidates are extremely disliked, which could have an impact on the down ticket, and the way the majority in Congress turn out could have a major impact on the Executive Branch's success in promoting its agenda. This can be a very close election, where every minor political hiccup could matter. - Speaking of whether SEnate could turn Republican and whether the House could turn Democrat, I discussed some of the races to watch, talking about how the #Democrats haver tried to make an issue out of the #Texas race between Ted Cruz and his opponent Colin Allred, and referencing the close 2018 race they are using as an indicator. I explained how the backlash over Cruz's complicated relationship with #Trump colored that #eleciton but is unlikely to make an impact this time around, and talked about how the polls are increasingly hard to read and unreliable. I talked about Larry Hogan's effort to become the first Republican Senator from #Maryland since 1980, how a Virginia district could become a bellwether for the red/blue divide after the dismal #midterm #elections for the #GOP, and how the Governor Youngkin-#Trump divide which undercut his success in those elections may not have much relevance now. I also discussed a Texas HOuse race between a far-right Mexican-American younger GOP candidate and a Hispanic Democrat challenger, and how there's a high expectation of the outcome reflecting the creeping Hispanic shift to the Republican party across the country. I said that SEnate is quite likely to go Republican but the House also has a good chance to go blue. - I talked about how a Republican control of all three branches could in theory make a #Trump presidency virtually unchallenged, and that SPeaker Mike Johnson has been particularly deferential to the #Trump agenda, but that if that is the case, Congress is likely to flip in the midterms as generally happens whenever one party controls all three branches, and that there is a high likelihood of Congressional split which means a lot of pushback and tension over funding and other issues. But even if Congress goes to GOP, likely the margin could be quite small and Democrats could still play a role in checking the Republican power. #politics #Republicans #Democrats #elections

Thank you to Naser El Tibi for having me on Al Arabiya News Channel yesterday! We delved into the scenarios where #emergingmarkets and #frontiermarkets could be beneficiaries from shifts in #USA trade policies. Curious about how these markets may perform? Tune in to hear my insights on how to navigate these dynamic times. 🌍 🎯 #AIMWITHARO #GlobalEconomy #TradePolicies

🚨 European markets are nervous. The risk of a Le Pen victory in the French elections is increasing, while the European economy is already in recession. 🇫🇷🇪🇺 European budgets are at stake, and this is just the tip of the iceberg of a bigger problem. #France #Elections #Europe #Europe #Recession #ATFX, #ATFXConnect, #MacroNews, #FinancialNews, #FED, #dollar, #InterestRates https://buff.ly/4cIzmVl

Republicans People of Color www.rpoc.org Media Outreach to Arabs American. Where: Al Qaheera News Topic : Trump 2024! Talking Point: •Kamala Harris was coronated by Zoom votes politburo committee only of elites and powerful Democrats. • A continuation of Commitee of Puppet led Adminstrations of America Democracy and Republic built on failures to deliver for the American Race of People. • Failure for the common man and woman in Economy, living standards, crime, drugs, homelessness, opportunity, illegal immigration galore as imported new voters and weak foreign policy built up on Wars only. Language : It is in Arabic. Why: Engage Ethnic media for all people of color in America to espouse republican values and message. Goal: Get Republicans and Trump elected 2024. We have more work to do. Messaging, trainings, talking points, voter registrations, and voter turn out drives. Peacefully and non violently let this regime fall by our votes. Media is welcome to reach back. Now we know who to beat finally the democrats elite and powerful committe of politburo coronated with only their votes allowed not you citizens common man and woman of American race of people votes not needed it will be dictated to you candidate that can read a teleprompter well enough to regurgitate the Politburo Commitee ruling America today talking points. We are fired up ready to go! #mngop #gop #republican #independent #libertarian #maga #democrats #houserepublicans #senaterepublicans #america https://lnkd.in/gqC8xCbY

I joined an القاهرة الإخبارية AlQahera NewsTv panel to discuss #Trump and #KamalaHarris election strategy in #Pennsylvania. Some of the the themes that were brought up: - Why Pennsylvania is such a key swing state: * I discussed Pennsylvania's population size, role as a major #energy producer, and a combination of having a popular Democratic governor and a significant blue collar demographic. - Whether the Hispanics in PA are leaning more Democrat or Republican. * I explained that although most Hispanics traditionally voted more Democrat, some demographics, like Cuban Americans were more Republican as are older generations Hispanics in states like Texas versus some of the newer immigrants. I talked about the demographic shift based on economic concerns, and GOP appeal to social conservatives on cultural and religious issues. I discussed how in PA the economics matter more than the identity politics, and talked about the cross-section of economic concerns between the white and Hispanic voters, and underscored that Republicans have been positioning themselves as a workers' party while the Democrats are increasingly seen as the party of the rich elites. - The panel also discussed the challenges for Trump and #Harris campaigning in the state. * I explained that #Trump will push for economic issues, talk about inflation, #energy, his record in deregulation, and appeal to the blue collar workers, whereas #KamalaHarris will focus on her campaign pushing for #Middleclass tax cut, and try to get more women to join her by discussing social issues such as her pro-#abortion stand. - The history of past #elections and who is more likely to win: * I talked about how PA is suffering from economic issues, stemming from the pandemic impact, the lockdown policies which disproportionally affected small business owners and lower and middle class and the people who regarded themselves as essential workers, the death of coal mining industry, the destitutions of areas around orphan wells, and the #supplychain and local industry disruptions in areas where #oilandgas production is no longer viable. I discussed how #Trump in 2016 won by promising to salvage the coal industry while the Democrats were patronizing and telling the locals to learn how to code, and that the mining skills were not easily transferrable to other industries, and I also discussed #Biden's #LNG export ban and how his policy stifling #Oilandgasindustry for local consumption had a major impact on #energy prices throughout his term, contributed to #inflation, and only started coming down at the end, and that #Harris has not been able to make a convincing #energy case for the future. I also explained that neither the Democratic government nor the Biden administration have been able to solve the post-pandemic issues in PA.