Red Sycamore Global’s Post

The 1.5°C target has been a rallying cry for climate action, symbolising the urgency and ambition needed to address climate change.  Even if the target is difficult to achieve, keeping it as a goal drives more ambitious actions to mitigate the worst impacts of the climate crisis.  Maintaining the 1.5°C target also keep political and public support for climate action, which is crucial for implementing effective policies.  Many scientists argue that the 1.5°C target is no longer realistic, given current emission trends and the lack of sufficient action.  According to recent studies, the world is already 1.49°C hotter than pre-industrial levels, and it is likely to exceed 1.5°C within the next few years.  Greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise, with a projected increase of 0.8% in 2024, reaching a record 37.4 billion tonnes of CO2. On the other hand, the cost of not meeting the 1.5°C climate goal is significant and multifaceted.  Higher temperatures lead to more frequent and severe weather events, such as hurricanes, heatwaves, droughts, and floods.  Many species are unable to adapt to rapid climate changes, leading to a loss of biodiversity.  Warming temperatures cause polar ice to melt, contributing to rising sea levels.  These extreme weather events and sea level rise causes significant damage to infrastructure, such as roads, bridges, and buildings.  Changes in temperature and precipitation patterns affect crop yields, leading to food shortages and increased food prices.  Food security challenges impact health and quality of life. Higher temperatures and increased air pollution can lead to a rise in heat-related illnesses and respiratory diseases.  The cost of healthcare and the loss of productivity due to illness faces significant inflation.  Climate change forces people to leave their homes due to environmental degradation, natural disasters, and resource scarcity.  This leads to social and political instability, as well as increased pressure on urban areas and services.  The impacts of climate change are felt most acutely by the poorest and most vulnerable communities, exacerbating existing inequalities and social tensions.  We are not ready for this reality. Terence Nunis Terence K. J. Nunis, Consultant President, Red Sycamore Global

The 1.5°C target has been a rallying cry for climate action, symbolising the urgency and ambition needed to address climate change.  Even if the target is difficult to achieve, keeping it as a goal drives more ambitious actions to mitigate the worst impacts of the climate crisis.  Maintaining the 1.5°C target also keep political and public support for climate action, which is crucial for implementing effective policies.  Many scientists argue that the 1.5°C target is no longer realistic, given current emission trends and the lack of sufficient action.  According to recent studies, the world is already 1.49°C hotter than pre-industrial levels, and it is likely to exceed 1.5°C within the next few years.  Greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise, with a projected increase of 0.8% in 2024, reaching a record 37.4 billion tonnes of CO2. On the other hand, the cost of not meeting the 1.5°C climate goal is significant and multifaceted.  Higher temperatures lead to more frequent and severe weather events, such as hurricanes, heatwaves, droughts, and floods.  Many species are unable to adapt to rapid climate changes, leading to a loss of biodiversity.  Warming temperatures cause polar ice to melt, contributing to rising sea levels.  These extreme weather events and sea level rise causes significant damage to infrastructure, such as roads, bridges, and buildings.  Changes in temperature and precipitation patterns affect crop yields, leading to food shortages and increased food prices.  Food security challenges impact health and quality of life. Higher temperatures and increased air pollution can lead to a rise in heat-related illnesses and respiratory diseases.  The cost of healthcare and the loss of productivity due to illness faces significant inflation.  Climate change forces people to leave their homes due to environmental degradation, natural disasters, and resource scarcity.  This leads to social and political instability, as well as increased pressure on urban areas and services.  The impacts of climate change are felt most acutely by the poorest and most vulnerable communities, exacerbating existing inequalities and social tensions.  We are not ready for this reality. Terence Nunis Terence K. J. Nunis, Consultant President, Red Sycamore Global

Understanding Pre-Industrial Temperatures: A Critical Benchmark for Climate Change When discussing climate change, the term "pre-industrial" often surfaces, particularly in reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The period between 1850 and 1900 serves as a critical benchmark for comparing current global temperatures. Here’s why this timeframe is so important: Establishing a Baseline: The IPCC uses the average temperatures from 1850 to 1900 as a baseline to measure the extent of global warming. This period was chosen because it reflects a time before the significant industrial activities that led to increased greenhouse gas emissions. Rising Temperatures: Since the pre-industrial period, global average temperatures have risen by approximately 1.1 degrees Celsius. This seemingly small increase has profound implications, contributing to more frequent and intense weather events, such as hurricanes, droughts, and heatwaves. Impact on Climate Policy: By comparing current temperatures to the pre-industrial baseline, scientists and policymakers can better understand the pace and scale of climate change. This understanding is essential for setting ambitious climate targets, like those outlined in the Paris Agreement, which seeks to limit global warming to below 2 degrees Celsius. Public Awareness and Action: Highlighting the pre-industrial temperature context helps convey the urgency of climate action. It underscores the significant impact of human activities on the planet's climate and emphasizes the need for immediate and sustained efforts to reduce emissions. A Call for Global Cooperation: Recognizing the changes since the pre-industrial era serves as a rallying point for nations worldwide. It reinforces the idea that combating climate change is a shared responsibility, requiring collaboration across borders and sectors. By understanding where we started, we can better navigate our path forward in addressing climate change. #ClimateChange #PreIndustrialTemperatures #GlobalWarming #IPCC #ClimateAction #Sustainability #EnvironmentalPolicy #ParisAgreement #GreenhouseGasEmissions #UrgencyForAction #NetZeroGreenBharat #CarbonHydrogenX

Did you know that half of all global warming isn't caused by CO2 but by climate super pollutants like methane, black carbon and HFCs? you can learn all about it during our webinar on 12/12.

The magnitude and rate of climate change and associated risks depend strongly on near-term mitigation and adaptation actions, and projected adverse impacts and related losses and damages escalate with every increment of global warming.  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate ChangeSome changes (such as droughts, wildfires, and extreme rainfall) are happening faster than scientists previously assessed. In fact, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) — the United Nations body established to assess the science related to climate change — modern humans have never before seen the observed changes in our global climate, and some of these changes are irreversible over the next hundreds to thousands of years.Scientists have high confidence that global temperatures will continue to rise for many decades, mainly due to greenhouse gases produced by human activities.The IPCC’s Sixth Assessment report, published in 2021, found that human emissions of heat-trapping gases have already warmed the climate by nearly 2 degrees Fahrenheit (1.1 degrees Celsius) since 1850-1900.1 The global average temperature is expected to reach or exceed 1.5 degrees C (about 3 degrees F) within the next few decades. These changes will affect all regions of Earth.The severity of effects caused by climate change will depend on the path of future human activities. More greenhouse gas emissions will lead to more climate extremes and widespread damaging effects across our planet. However, those future effects depend on the total amount of carbon dioxide we emit. So, if we can reduce emissions, we may avoid some of the worst effects.

The CAT guide to a good 2035 (and 2030) climate target sets out four key areas that governments should focus on when developing their next set of targets. But, if governments don't strengthen their 2030 targets and fail to substantially increase pre-2030 climate action, limiting peak global warming to 1.5°C will very likely not be possible and would lead to a multi-decadal, high overshoot of this limit. According to the guide the four key elements of a good climate target are: - Ambition: it's absolutely critical for governments to take more action on their 2030 targets; - Finance and Fairness: Climate finance is key to a good global climate outcome, and the developed world must step up considerably to meet the significant gap between what they've provided so far, and what they need to provide. Equally, developing countries need to come up with 1.5˚C-aligned conditional targets, and communicate their needs; - Credibility and - Transparency. We need to rethink our way to reach the goal, because there is not so much time anymore. #climateactiontracker #climatechange #climaterisk #roadtoasustainabilityfinance

Join us at our webinar to learn why your climate strategy has a major blind spot and what to do about it!   🗓️ Thursday, December 12 at 12:00pm ET/9:00am PT   Climate super pollutants -- like methane, black carbon, low-level ozone and nitrous oxide -- are responsible for roughly half of global warming. And they are far more potent than CO2 in the critical near-term. Unfortunately, carbon markets and carbon accounting, used worldwide to drive climate action, have systematically undervalued or completely overlooked these pollutants leaving companies and governments with only half the data they need to make informed decisions. Until now.     Join the Global Heat Reduction Initiative’s Executive Director, Kiff Gallagher, and US Leading Climate Scientist, Dr. Drew Shindell, on Thursday, December 12, 2024 at 12:00pm ET for an in-depth discussion on the importance of slashing climate super pollutants and how corporations, NGOs, cities, and institutions can measure and mitigate excess atmospheric heat in the critical next decade. In this 45-minute discussion, you will learn:     ✅ About the latest progress on super pollutant science and agreements from COP29 and around the world.   ✅Why it’s critical to target super pollutants in your climate action plan, climate mitigation investment portfolio and/ or net zero target setting.     ✅ How to reduce business risk, make better mitigation investments, and get credit for the work you’re already doing by measuring and managing all drivers of global warming.   Register now! https://lnkd.in/guU-38h8   #climateaction #climatesolutions #sustainability #globalwarming

For a second year in a row, the world continues to break temperature records as greenhouse gas emissions rise, leading to more extreme heat and flooding events that are taking lives and displacing many around the globe. Governments are expected to submit their climate targets - or new Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) - by early 2025, with targets for 2035. However, the Climate Action Tracker (CAT) analyses have continued to show that both individual country and collective mitigation ambition for 2030 targets is not in line with the level of action needed to limit warming to 1.5°C. Of even more concern: governments are not implementing enough policies and actions to meet even those insufficient targets. From November this year, national governments need to submit 1.5°C aligned 2035 NDC targets but for the world to meet the Paris Agreement’s 1.5˚C temperature goal, they need to move to emergency mode and strengthen the ambition of their 2030 NDC targets and current policy action. Targets and action for 2030 needs to align with the pathway to net CO2 zero emissions by 2050 globally, which should also then define the NDC targets for 2035. A failure to substantially increasing the ambition of current 2030 targets and action would mean limiting peak global warming to 1.5°C will not be possible and would likely lead to a multidecadal, high overshoot of this limit, even if followed by strong 2035 targets. In this briefing, the CAT highlights four key elements for what is needed from the next round of NDCs for 2035: they need to be ambitious, fair, credible, transparent, and include aspects of climate finance and a just and fair transition.

Is Climate Change the Killer Some Claim? Since the 1970s, discussions around Earth’s climate have oscillated between fears of an impending Ice Age and concerns about global warming. Early reports suggested a cooling trend, warning of a possible new Ice Age. This narrative shifted dramatically by the late 20th century, culminating in the 2006 documentary “An Inconvenient Truth” by former Vice President Al Gore. He warned that human activity was causing rapid global warming, predicting severe consequences within a decade. When these dire predictions did not fully materialize, figures like John Kerry, appointed as the U.S. “Climate Czar,” extended the timeline for potential climate catastrophe. Recently, the debate has taken a new turn. Some scientists argue that while climate change is occurring, it may be driven more by natural cycles than previously thought. The role of human activity, particularly the increase in CO2 emissions, remains a contested issue. Despite ongoing debate, extreme weather events are often cited as evidence of climate change. With differing perspectives, the question remains: Is climate change the existential threat that some claim, or is the truth more nuanced?

When Data Sets are manipulated (by the Ivy League Academia) in the IPCC Climate Change Reports by purposely excluding the biggest factor of Earth’s Weather/Tempreature, i.e. the Sun, then all secondary initiatives of the IPCC Panel such as Carbon Capture, Emission Cuts, Green Energy Wave, ESG would be a failure. It has NO impact whatsoever to slow or reduce Global Warming and its effects. #ItsTheSun