The AI bubble is jumping the shark. That means that the end is near. The greater the hyperbole, the more the desperation. I think it will be dead before the end of the year. This bubble needs to be burst. The hyperbole is getting ridiculous. There is a notion from science fiction that we can download, copy, upload, or replicate human intelligence onto disc storage. That science fiction is in the Amazon TV show Upload. It is also in the 20th Century movie The Creator. Codifying, transferring, and remaking intelligence is an old science fiction trope. It has no bearing on current or anywhere near future reality. Could we do it in a few hundred years? We don’t even know. There is nothing that actually states that we are anywhere close to understanding human intelligence nor being able to replicate it. So when a dating site like Bumble, that is trying to be relevant in an AI hype bubble states that AI concierges will be able to go around and date each other as proxies, what they really mean is that their poorly constructed multiple-choice surveys that don’t really capture much of anything about you will be the basis for what will likely be AI advertising profiles. They want to promote that you will be able to match inaccurate advertising profiles against other inaccurate advertising profiles and decide which advertising profiles you like the most. That is their notion of AI. This is the extent of how they think AI should be used. It both shows the level of intelligence of the people promoting AI and the level of intelligence of the actual AI. The erroneous assumption that we are reaching a science fiction future prematurely is mostly being down individuals trying to promote stock growth of companies that would be stagnant otherwise. This isn’t AI, it’s human hype. ——— NBC News:”AI personas are the future of dating, Bumble founder says. Many aren't buying. Whitney Wolfe Herd, founder and executive chair of Bumble, said that the dating app wants to use AI to "create more healthy and equitable relationships." The future of dating could be filled with digital, artificial intelligence-powered personas setting each other up, according to the founder of a popular dating app. Bumble founder Whitney Wolfe Herd, speaking Thursday at the Bloomberg Tech Summit in San Francisco, said that her company is considering how AI can assist and empower women in their search for connection. One particular use of AI that Herd mentioned has gained traction online — although not everyone liked the idea. Herd proposed a scenario in which singles could use AI dating concierges as stand-ins for themselves when reaching out to prospective partners online. “There is a world where your dating concierge could go and date for you with other dating concierge ... and then you don’t have to talk to 600 people,” she said during the summit.” NBC News: https://lnkd.in/gu-FFKb6 #ai #hh
Damir Wallener
7mo
Ok…taking this seriously…here’s IMO on why it won’t work at getting people matched up. The reality is Bumble etc are actually quite good at getting some people matched up. But…the people it works well for are the same people who are already pretty good at relationshipping IRL. So what happens is the viable matches don’t stay on Bumble very long, because these people find each other relatively quickly and don’t need the apps anymore. So what’s left are relationship-challenged people in an endless spin cycle of on the app, off the app. Over time, the pool of potential matches has come to be dominated by that group, because they’re the larger group. So most people will have a series of failed dating experiments. Now…there is a way to leverage AI to improve this. You can build a Gottman-like LLM to classify how people actually interact in the app. But…since the bulk of users won’t classify well…you’re enforcing what is already happening in practice…dysfunction matching with dysfunction. So…you won’t get the outcome you’re looking for. This isn’t a thing that can be fixed by an app, AI enabled or not. IMO, etc.
Damir Wallener
7mo
I mean…this stuff has been percolating for nearly two years…dudes have been fine-tuning personal waifus since before GPT 3.5 broke…dudes and dudettes have been RAGing their (or their exes!) chat histories with locally running big-context LLMs as large as their RTX 4090s can handle post-quantization…we are already in a world where single people are having their bots date each other, and handle routine day to day interaction. So I kinda agree Bumble is showing a lack of imaginAItion…they’re already way behind what IRL people are doing with AI in their personal lives.
Lee Howard
7mo
Hahah! Their AI agent/platform/insert your favorite euphemism should be called "Yenta AI". Agreed that this is bordering on ridiculous and that headlines about mergers and acquisitions in the space are already happening, but out of all the obvious hype chaos, something business-worthy will emerge, and those who jockey for that business will probably steamroll over anyone (or any policy) in their way. I still think cognitive liberty should be respected, personally, on the way to AI business viability. Liberty. It's a thing! Perhaps it's not ever absolute, but it should be respected and pursued.
Kevin Keller
7mo
I think more thoughtful sci-fi writers would agree with you that the simplistic idea that you can store consciousness on a disk is flawed and that consciousness can't be replicated. From Robert Sawyer's latest book called The Downloaded: "although the autonomic parts of the central nervous system run purely along classic physics lines, consciousness - the self-reflective inner life- is the product of quantum mechanical interactions, and it was subject to the usual bane of quantum effects: decoherence. After a few days, the quantum state would collapse, destroying the consciousness that had once existed..." Not sure that AI has jumped the shark, but there are people who don't understand it deeply who can find ways to jump sharks even when all that's in the water is a plastic fin from a diving snorkler.
Tariq Lacy
7mo
What is an equitable relationship, anyway? How would Bumble go about assessing that? Seems like their "bumbling" about more than exploring relevancy tech. And perhaps it's just me but I wouldn't be out there looking for an equitable relationship; I'd look for a kind, curious, and empathetic person who's into learning and exploring all that a relationship can bring.
Derek Gorman
7mo
Here's how it will go: "I'm holding out for those sexy robots." "I got me a sexy robot" "Call me an ambulance, I need to go to Accident and Emergency"
Simon Pulman
7mo
Utterly embarrassing.
Alessandro Poli
7mo
I feel like I was screaming this into the void for a while. I'm glad more and more people are catching up. Is this going to be something like the NFT bubble? I'm not sure, since this bubble, at least, did a lot of damage to a lot of people's livelihood. But seeing its probable end is surely a hopeful thought.
Andrea Roberto
7mo
I saw a person I used to appreciate and value for his futuristic insights - Peter Diamandis - mention the coupling of human mind with AI and a data cloud as a possibility in the near future. It’s not the first hype-ridden science-void bomb this guy drops. It’s the last I suffer.
Owner @ Colvin Theatrical - Film, TV and Commercial Production
7moIt’s a brilliant idea if rolled out mindfully. Here’s why. Apps like Bumble are built on qualitative culling of potential romantic interests. Dating apps use internal processes to estimate compatibility, often with mixed results. So, the more accurate the estimate process becomes, the more useful the app becomes. This also applies to the speed at which a user finds a compatible match. What Bumble is doing is making its internal processes faster and more stable, consistent and effective. So, now, for women, instead of having 100 matches waiting for you in your inbox, you’ll be able to have a prioritized list of people who are actually compatible and not psychotic. And the method used to determine that compatibility is refinable and uses an AI model significantly smarter than an average human. Am I in favor of fake AI personas, or any AI persona pretending to be human (or humanesque)? No. Does AI offer major transformation potential as an ultra-intelligent matchmaker? Absolutely - and it is simply the next iteration of the matching technology these apps already employ.