Paolo Garonna’s Post

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Professor of Economics, Luiss G. Carli University, Rome

#CapitalMarketsUnion: Interesting #ELECItalia Seminar and disappoiting outcome of the #EuropeanCouncil Introducing the Seminar, I said that what is blocking progess in #CMU, as in any other major question of #Europeanintegration, is the conflict between two different visions of Europe: one aims at a real #Union with the #singlemarket, the #Euro, and in the future #fiscalunion and #defense- and #foreignpolicyunion, that would enable Europe to act as a #globalplayer on a par with the US, China and other emerging powers. The other sees Europe as an area of converging #nationalsovereignties aiming at coordination and harmonization of #nationalprerogatives. I generously called the latter a vision of #virtuousfragmentation because it draws on the benefits of maintaining power at the national level and having separate markets institutions policies and players. This conflict of visions goes to the heart of the choise on the table for the 2024 #Europeanelections and should be widely discussed in the campaign. The ELEC Seminar highlighted the need and urgency to decidedly move on the #CMUagenda (as with #BankingUnion and all other necessary unions) after 10 years of tinkering and delays. It also recognized the need for gradualism, compromize and to take into account the "costs" of federalism, as it happened when the single market, the Euro, the enlargement and the #SSM were implemented in the past. The outcome of the latest European Council instead was quite disappointing, as it reflected the old vision of a #fragmentedUnion" rather than a #unitedUnion. Probably not more could be expected in the current low-key electoral campaing. The polls will enable us to respond to the questions posed at the Webinar: "Are we at a turning point?" and "Will the "radical changes" that are needed (Draghi) be made?". In an international order on the verge of collapse, Europe's enemies and competitors are carefully watching what Europeans will do and will not do.

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