Leading or Bleeding Edge? #TSMC Q3 result is terrible news for #Intel and #Samsung The easiest way to become a millionaire is to start as a 50x billionaire and build a #Semiconductor #Foundry. Within a short while, you will be stripped of most of your cash while having a big, beautiful cheeselayer concrete box full of the most expensive toys anybody has ever imagined. And then the fun begins. If you are lucky, you now have the most advanced semiconductor #technology in the world and are waiting for customers to break into your sales offices. #AI customers are screaming for capacity on 3nm processes, so why do we have to check if our #phones are disconnected? These questions could be asked in the corner offices of the two contenders to the foundry Game of Thrones occupied by TSMC. Both Samsung Electronics and Intel Corporation are jumping from disappointment to disappointment while trying to convince everybody that they should take a gamble. If they are lucky enough to find customers, they will find out that their new fab and technology are years away from profitability, primarily due to TSMC’s business model. A very big thank you again to Claus Aasholm and Semiconductor Business Intelligence for the full article with more background and insights via the link below 🙏💡👇 https://lnkd.in/ensuVGFe #semiconductorindustry #semiconductormanufacturing #tech #it #ic #chip #chips #asml #lithography #subsidies #geopolitics #innovation #apple #nvidia #consumerelectronics #datacenter #server #cloud
Great article. I'm very skeptical the US government investment in Intel will pay off and this article does nothing to change my skepticism. I'm curious about the comment "TSMC gives customers the benefit of the longer-term economic gain of upgrading to a new technology upfront and deals with the cost internally. This would probably not have happened if TSMC was a US corporation and something Intel would struggle with as profitability would be delayed." I assume the comment about not happening if TSMC were a US corporation is due to Wall St financial pressure?
It seems that the companies dependent on TSMC are complacently assuming that the current situation will continue on, ignoring that the possible re-election of someone so ignorant of fundamental economics will plunge the US economy into a fast decline due more tariffs resulting in high inflation, which will then lead to unpredictable reactions that could culminate in another hot war there in Asia. Where will those companies get their advanced ICs then?
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1moVery interesting to see the progress depicted as a "loading bar" and the major foundries compared to each other in this way. Thanks for sharing it, Marco!