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Climate Change Resilience | Energy Transition | Adaptation Research | Transdisciplinary Research

As of 20 November 2024, the 29th United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP29) in Baku, Azerbaijan, is approaching its conclusion, with critical negotiations intensifying. Climate Finance Negotiations A central focus has been establishing a new climate finance target to succeed the previous $100 billion annual commitment. Developing nations have advocated for substantial increases, with proposals ranging from $440 billion to $900 billion annually. In contrast, developed countries have suggested lower figures, with the European Union proposing a starting point of $100 billion. Debates over the proportion of grants versus loans and the inclusion of emerging economies like China as contributors have marked the discussions. The complexity of these negotiations has led to a stalemate, prompting interventions from high-level ministers to facilitate progress. Carbon Market Developments Ratifying a framework under Article 6.4 of the Paris Agreement, establishing international carbon credit trading standards, was a significant milestone. This development is anticipated to unlock substantial climate finance, benefiting developing countries by providing a regulated mechanism for carbon trading. Controversial Gas-Swap Agreement A contentious proposal emerged involving a gas-swap deal to maintain Russian fuel supplies to Europe through alternative routes. Critics have labelled this arrangement a “Trojan horse” for Russian influence in Europe, raising concerns about its alignment with the conference’s climate objectives. National Commitments and Contributions Australia has pledged $50 million to the global compensation fund for climate-related loss and damage, positioning itself as the sixth-largest contributor to this initiative. This fund is designed to assist developing nations in recovering from climate-induced disasters. G20 Influence The recent G20 summit in Rio de Janeiro reaffirmed commitments to the Paris Agreement and urged a consensus on climate finance at COP29. However, the absence of explicit obligations to phase out fossil fuels has drawn criticism from environmental advocates, highlighting ongoing challenges in aligning global economic policies with climate goals. Outlook As COP29 enters its final days, the urgency to resolve outstanding issues, particularly regarding climate finance and emission reduction commitments, is paramount. The outcomes of these negotiations will significantly influence global climate action trajectories in the coming years. Source: AP, Reuters and The Times

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