John Ure’s Post

The world is already committed to warming that will undercut the global economy by 20 percent between now and 2050. That’s six times the price of limiting warming to 2 degrees Celsius.

The magnitude and rate of climate change and associated risks depend strongly on near-term mitigation and adaptation actions, and projected adverse impacts and related losses and damages escalate with every increment of global warming.  Intergovernmental Panel on Climate ChangeSome changes (such as droughts, wildfires, and extreme rainfall) are happening faster than scientists previously assessed. In fact, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC) — the United Nations body established to assess the science related to climate change — modern humans have never before seen the observed changes in our global climate, and some of these changes are irreversible over the next hundreds to thousands of years.Scientists have high confidence that global temperatures will continue to rise for many decades, mainly due to greenhouse gases produced by human activities.The IPCC’s Sixth Assessment report, published in 2021, found that human emissions of heat-trapping gases have already warmed the climate by nearly 2 degrees Fahrenheit (1.1 degrees Celsius) since 1850-1900.1 The global average temperature is expected to reach or exceed 1.5 degrees C (about 3 degrees F) within the next few decades. These changes will affect all regions of Earth.The severity of effects caused by climate change will depend on the path of future human activities. More greenhouse gas emissions will lead to more climate extremes and widespread damaging effects across our planet. However, those future effects depend on the total amount of carbon dioxide we emit. So, if we can reduce emissions, we may avoid some of the worst effects.

Facing the global scourge of climate change One thing is certain: the more time we lose in countering climate change, the worse it will be! Whichever way we think otherwise, climate change will continue to advance, and at an accelerated rate than predicted! Timeline for Reaching 2°C Current projections suggest that if greenhouse gas emissions continue on their current trajectory, the world could reach the 1.5°C threshold around early 2029, with crossing the 2°C mark potentially occurring by mid-century or sooner. The precise timing depends heavily on global emission reduction efforts and climate policies implemented in the coming years. Reaching a global temperature increase of 2°C poses significant threats not only to biodiversity but also to human systems reliant on healthy ecosystems. Immediate action is crucial to mitigate these impacts and strive for lower temperature increases through effective climate policies. https://lnkd.in/dFr_Ax-3 ( But also: https://lnkd.in/dXeb_Qd2 )

Recent data revealed that last month was the warmest February on record globally putting the world temporarily above the 1.5C threshold. Ambitious actions are needed to pursue steep and immediate emissions reductions measures. This is the clearest way to mitigate the impact of the climate crisis. The world cannot afford to stall or backtrack on life-saving commitments. Now more than ever, it's crucial that we take action to address the climate crisis which is affecting all of us. https://lnkd.in/eVU2pZ9w

“Observations show no increase in damage or any danger to humanity today due to extreme weather or global warming.[7] Climate change mitigation, according to AR6, means curtailing the use of fossil fuels,[8] even though fossil fuels are still abundant and inexpensive. Since the current climate is arguably better than the pre-industrial climate and we have observed no increase in extreme weather or climate mortality, we conclude that we can plan to adapt to any future changes. Until a danger is identified, there is no need to eliminate fossil fuel use.” Adapt to survive. #Climatechange

Special Report BioScience 2024. The 2024 state of the climate report: Perilous times on planet Earth. We are on the brink of an irreversible climate disaster. This is a global emergency beyond any doubt. Much of the very fabric of life on Earth is imperiled. We are stepping into a critical and unpredictable new phase of the climate crisis. For many years ,scientists, including a group of more than 15,000, have sounded the alarm about the impending dangers of climate change driven by increasing green house gasses emissions and ecosystem change. For half a century, global warming has been correctly predicted even before it was observed - and not only by independent academic scientists but also by fossil fuel companies. Despite these warnings, we are still moving in the wrong direction; fossil fuel emissions have increased to an all-time high, the 3 hottest days ever occurred in July of 2024 and current policies have us on track for approximately 2.7 de- grees Celsius peak warming by 2100. Tragically, we are failing to avoid serious impacts, and we can now only hope to limit the extent of the damage. We are witnessing the grim reality of the forecasts as climate impacts escalate, bringing forth scenes of unprecedented disasters around the world and human and nonhuman suffering. We find ourselves amid an abrupt climate upheaval, a dire situation never before encountered in the annals of human existence. Let’s change the climate before the climate changes us. What is holding us back? https://lnkd.in/e9sNY26N

Contingently Irreversible Climate Beakdown News By Ben Turner 'The last 12 months have broken records like never before': Earth exceeds 1.5 C warming every month for entire year. Scientists consider global warming of 2 C (3.6 F) above pre-Industrial Revolution temperatures an important threshold — warming beyond this greatly increases the likelihood of devastating and irreversible climate breakdown. Every month has broken the temperature record of the previous for the past 12 months, and the signs of climate breakdown are already here, a new analysis shows. Earth has broken temperature records for 13 consecutive months — with every month registering temperatures 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) higher than pre-industrial averages, according to a new report. Every month since June 2023 has been hotter than the one preceding it, making the global average temperature between July 2023 and June 2024 1.64 C (3 F) greater than it was before the Industrial Revolution, when humans started burning fossil fuels to release huge quantities of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. "This is more than a statistical oddity and it highlights a large and continuing shift in our climate. Even if this specific streak of extremes ends at some point, we are bound to see new records being broken as the climate continues to warm," Carlo Buontempo, director of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) which made the report, said in a statement. "This is inevitable, unless we stop adding [greenhouse gases] into the atmosphere and the oceans."  The 12-month streak was in part driven by El Niño (a climate cycle where waters in the tropical eastern Pacific grow warmer than usual) which persisted from June 2023 to May 2024, leading to above-average sea temperatures across the east and central equatorial Pacific. "The climate continues to alarm us — the last 12 months have broken records like never before — caused primarily by our greenhouse gas emissions and an added boost from the El Niño event in the tropical Pacific," Samantha Burgess, deputy director of C3S, said in the statement.

"The internationally agreed goal to keep the world’s temperature rise below 1.5C is now “deader than a doornail”, with 2024 almost certain to be the first individual year above this threshold, climate scientists have gloomily concluded – even as world leaders gather for climate talks on how to remain within this boundary." "Despite countries agreeing to shift away from fossil fuels, this year is set to hit a new record for planet-heating emissions, and even if current national pledges are met the world is on track for 2.7C (4.8F) warming, risking disastrous heatwaves, floods, famines and unrest." https://lnkd.in/dnesC23F

The right word to assess the climate that has changed globally is "scary". This fear naturally arises when one of the main causes is due to the increase in global temperatures that continues to occur. There is a relationship between the occurrence of the process of global temperature increase, with the large carbon footprint of the material that causes it. The relationship can be explained as follows: 1. The process of global temperature increase will occur quickly, if the material that causes it has a large carbon footprint, which is hundreds of times to thousands of times compared to CO2 gas. 2. The process of global temperature increase will occur slowly, if the material that causes it has a small carbon footprint, which is less than or equal to the carbon footprint of CO2 gas. Although there are other factors that also greatly influence the increase in global temperature (global warming). https://lnkd.in/gkCxerbe