Hugh Roberts’ Post

CULTURE AND VOTING. SAME AGENDA ACROSS THE CHANNEL? Territoriality is obviously a strong determinant of voting preference. If you live in ‘left behind’ town or country, you’re more likely to vote against established parties of centre left or centre right. The opposite is true for better off metropoles. That’s evident from patterns emerging in France this week as the RN (change of initials from the old FN; philosophy too perhaps?) have won the highest proportion of votes in the first round for the Assemblée Nationale. The FP, an amalgam of leftist groups equally opposed to middle ground politics are in second place. This leaves the centre left and centre right as the squeezed middle between two mutually uncomprehending tribes who offer very different ideological solutions to mainly cultural problems. Any different across La Manche? Only in terms of timing perhaps! If Britain is to avoid this mismatch of ideology and culture, our professed middle ground Labour and Tory tribes need to recognise the ‘left behind’ sensitivity of those now disinclined to support them. The Tories feel this already through the challenge of Reform, but the Labour Party are equally vulnerable longer term to the charge of ignoring those left behind. And they’re on course to be our next government. If our currently mainstream parties want to avoid centrifugal spread of support to the extremes, they will do well to focus on those with the grievance that no one in power cares what they think. They might just impose their views through the ballot box. Not yet maybe in U.K., but next time round? (Next time round is next weekend in France! )

© Hugh Roberts

© Hugh Roberts

fracturedsocietycer.com

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