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I help families earning $400,000+ build wealth faster by using the most advanced tax strategies available to Canadians. Our goal is to dramatically reduce your tax bill every year for the rest of your life.

Not a week has gone by since the 2024 Budget Proposal where I haven't had a serious talk with someone about moving to the US. These people range from C-Suite executives to a couple who are new doctors in their late-20's (and apparently many of their peers are considering moving their new practices down south - massive brain drain potential). The data in the article only goes until 2022 but shows a clear trend that likely accelerated in 2023 and has probably gone exponential in 2024. Politics, taxes, and affordability are frequently cited in the article as a major reason people give for making the move. I remember back to the early 20-teens when non-resident US citizens were rushing to renounce their US citizenship because the IRS made all citizens, regardless of residency, file a US tax return (which costs $$ every year). That's a valid reason, in my opinion, but it does show the fact that these things can ebb and flow. Without getting political and just reading the tea leaves, it does seem that the pushback for the proposed Capital Gains Inclusion changes is significant enough to be political suicide. Even without that, it seems like Canadians have had enough of Trudeau, so his days are numbered. I hope all of these Hail Mary announcements don't continue and turn into disaster. A scenario that could play out is that Poilievre gets into power next year but inherits a very difficult environment and doesn't have the time needed to make sufficient improvement. Then Mark Carney (former BoC and Bank of England governor), who has been signaling a potential Liberal party run and is very well known, wins the subsequent election and continues the ball that Poilievre starts, but gets all the credit. Interestingly, Carney has been quite critical of Trudeau even though they are members of the same party. Bottom line: if you are considering a move to the US, be careful of doing something that is not easily undone because change is afoot.

Emigration to the U.S. hits a 10-year high as tens of thousands of Canadians head south | CBC News

Emigration to the U.S. hits a 10-year high as tens of thousands of Canadians head south | CBC News

Hamzah Qalyoubi

Staff Accountant | Accounting Expertise @ Gerald Duthie & Co. LLP CPA Candidate

6mo

Gregory Johnston, CFA Insightful perspective! The potential trends highlighted here are definitely worth considering. Change seems to be on the horizon, so it's crucial to navigate with caution. Thanks for sharing your thoughts!

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