Good commentary here regarding the waves of innovation and how "what's next" gets driven. I do think Gareth's last point is so important. Accessibility of technology doesn't always mean it's valuable, although I would say it's hard to see massive impact with tech until it becomes widely accessible. Definitely worth reading. #innovation #ai #technology
Time to dust of my 'crappographic' Now we are roughly a year past the initial froth around LLM's, which brought renewed attention to AI, I thought t was time to revisit my 'crappographic' - a non technical and unapologetically personal view of how innovation embeds itself into the world of work. I've been updating this since 2010. The following things occur to me when I look at the image: ✳️ Each wave of innovation emerges from the exhaust of the previous. The connected economy (Internet) grew from personal computing, the collaborative (social) economy grew grew out of the connected economy. The predictive (Data) economy grew out of the collaborative economy and so on ✳️ The innovation happens when no one is looking. By the time the innovation is in the public consciousness and in the hands of the vendors at the various events, its old news. The innovation that drove the solutions typically started 5+ years before ✳️ If you can imagine what AI will drive in 2030, you are not trying hard enough. For sure it won't be a suite of LLM's delivering perfectly formed content. Elements of what we see now will be in there, but the innovators are looking at it through a completely different lens to you & I and the current incumbents ✳️ Incumbents are rarely the innovators. Open AI is 8+ years old. Now they do have Sam Altman and it seems they have it all cornered. But bet your bottom dollar that a bunch of folks you have never heard of are likely, right now, creating something significant that will drive the agenda in c 2030. PS. New innovators often get gobbled up by the incumbents ✳️ We are right in an innovation hot spot. Innovation spots occur as the last wave settles into BAU. New companies and entrepreneurs, unshackled by the frame of the present, are currently playing around with technology to solve a problem you didn't even know you had. ✳️ Accessibility counts. It even trumps value in this vacuous, hype hungry world. Users flock to something in massive hoards these days and accessibility is the key. However, accessibility is no guarantee of sustainability. Where do you think we'll be in 6 years? #innovation #AI #AIinHR #Future #Predictions
