Frontier Foundry’s Post

Explore the concept of "risk premium" in our current financial landscape where Money Market Fund rates exceed 5% and US debt yield curves are inverted. Are traditional approaches leading investors astray? 🤔 Join the conversation on recalibrating strategies and embracing a new perspective 💼💡 #Investing #FinanceInsights #RiskManagement #MarketTrends #ai https://lnkd.in/gW44uMMa Sultan M. Nick Reese Jimmie Lenz

Unlocking the Hidden Truth: Is the Market Shortchanging You for the Risks You Take?

Unlocking the Hidden Truth: Is the Market Shortchanging You for the Risks You Take?

frontierfoundry.substack.com

Good read. I've seen other attempts to adjust risk premiums by varying the duration of the assumed risk-free rate, and as in this piece, the reference can be attributed to the segmentation of the yield curve and how investors select strategy. The only counter to this thought is that many if not most institutional investors are locked into a particular segment of the curve by their investment mandates or rules dictating asset/liability matching. This (just IMO) relegates using shorter duration yields to compute risk premia to that "additional piece of information" that can help identify turning points in the market, but I would suggest that in a normalised yield curve environment, the analysis would regress to something out around the 10yr.

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