In the previous decade, the roaring teenies for China, land sales subsidised many public services. And this created a whole economic sector that relied on land sales continuing and property prices to continue to go up. The local govt is now broke, and there have been cutbacks everywhere. Salary cuts, clawbacks on bonuses, and delaying payment to the point of default for suppliers. But that does not address the fact that some services are not making money. Take the high speed rail, there are estimates that cumulative losses added to total liabilities of the HSR is at nearly USD1tr. When China was booming, it can be argued that there are spillover effects. But when the local provinces are broke (and can't subsidise their share of the 'services') because the spillover effects did not translate into tax revenue - then some level of rationalisation or price hikes are in order. "China Railway, the state-owned operator of the country’s massive high-speed network, announced last week a price increase of around 20 per cent on four of its major high-speed lines. The fare increase, which will take effect from June 15, covers some busy major routes, including between Shanghai and Hangzhou, as well as between Wuhan and Guangzhou." 20% is not a joke. Soon airfare will also rise (not as much) because they do not have to compete with China Rail at the low low prices. So will utilities. And the tax office will be more strict the next few years.
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Rather than turn to the private sector to assist and incent with rental housing, the governmemt has decided to tax and suffocate the overall Canadian economy dissuading capital investment. Comes at the same time net investment was already declining. Watch for the Canadian dollar to drop as a result due to a lack of foreign investment, making imports more expensive. Faced with higher inflation and a depreciating Canadian dollar, the Bank of Canada will actually have to forgo rate cuts and raise short term rates to counter act Freeland and Trudeau’s fiasco. #fiscalpolicy #Canada #Canadiandollar #macroeconomics
Canada Hikes Capital Gains Tax to Raise Billions for Housing
bloomberg.com
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Pakistan: Hubco likely to follow suit: Four IPPs ink deal to annul pacts early The federal government’s work on different Independent Power Producers (IPPs) has started delivering results as four IPPs, M/s Atlas Power, M/s Saba Power, M/s Rousch Power and Lalpir Power have initialed (signed) premature scrapping of pacts whereas Hubco is likely to follow suit on Tuesday or Wednesday, well-informed sources told Business Recorder. The Task Force on Power Sector, which also comprises two senior security officers besides lawyers on the board and experts from SECP, PPIB, CPPA-G and Nepra played a key role in convincing IPPs, established under pre-1994, 1994 and 2002 Power Generation Policies to renegotiate. Three IPPs are M/s Hubco Power, M/s Rousch Power and Lalpir Power, which fought till the end but ultimately showed leniency on premature termination of Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs). However, there are differences between Hubco and Government team on amount of Rs 1 billion. Govt set to announce revised deals with IPPs The government believes that it will save Rs 325 billion on the remaining life of five IPPs (3-10 years), the sources said, adding that the government has shown willingness to pay previous capacity dues of five IPPs but not interest as some of the IPPs have accused the government of defaulting on pacts. The saving from termination will be of Rs 0.65 per unit. According to Power Minister, Sardar Awais Khan Leghari, consumers’ tariff will be reduced by up to Rs 7 per unit as a result of these negotiations, debt re-profiling and moratorium on debt payments to Chinese IPPs and transmission line project. CPEC projects would bring Rs3.5-3.75 per unit relief. Reduction of RoE of public sector power projects and negotiations with power projects of 2006 policy will further reduce tariff. Currently, share of capacity payment is Rs 19-20 per unit which is over 50 per cent of total price of electricity sans taxes, surcharges and TV fee of Rs 35 per consumer which also constitutes 35-40 per cent of total electricity bill. Suggestions are also under consideration to force wind power projects to revise their tariffs. IPPs are unhappy with the pressure they faced during discussions, which included junior officials from the SECP, the CPPA-G, and Nepra. The key issue is exorbitant capacity issues of power plants both in public and private sector. There is no plan of reform the power sector. Some owners of IPPs, who also have other business interests, have acquiesced to the pressure and consented to the revised agreements, despite the figures provided that contradicted their documented data. The sources said almost all power plant owners have been urged to voluntarily announce tariff reductions to set a precedent. Some, like Attock Gen, Liberty Dharki, and Gul Ahmad, have already announced reductions, while others are assessing potential changes after discussions with top officials in Islamabad.
Hubco likely to follow suit: Four IPPs ink deal to annul pacts early
brecorder.com
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A group of some fifteen economists recently urged an "immediate end" to public-sector spending cuts. Current government spending can hardly be described as austere, with Treasury pointing out that the government is running a structural deficit. The open letter notes the country's infrastructure deficit and says taking on debt to build infrastructure can be laudable. However, the Infrastructure Commission warned that New Zealand's substantial problem is value-for-money - while we spend about as much as other high-income countries on infrastructure relative to the size of our economy, we don't get very much for our money. The letter correctly notes that there is no crisis in government debt levels, with other governments having much higher debt levels. But getting back to prudent debt levels after a period of deficit-spending, is what maintains the government’s ability to deal with the next crisis when it comes. The letter also urges shifting from the government's target of doubling export earnings to targeting net export earnings. Exports are the price we pay to afford wonderful imports. Shifting to a net export target seems worse. And while the letter warns against low-value exports, exporters would already process things here if it offered higher returns. Overall, the letter urges entrenching and increasing the higher levels of government spending that occurred during the Covid crisis. It would be difficult to build political support for a large fiscal response to the next crisis if nobody could trust that the response were, in fact, temporary. Link to the full article in the comments below ⬇
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Roadmap to energy sector viability will now shift in focus to cost-side reforms. The IMF has urged to revisit, where feasible, the terms of power purchase agreements. This comes after massive upward revisions in energy tariffs.
‘Cost-side reforms’: IMF says Pakistan needs to revisit terms of power purchase agreements
brecorder.com
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The IMF has urged ministers to raid inheritances and charge drivers for using the roads in a bid to find the cash to increase spending, even as drivers buy electric cars and, therefore, stop paying tax on petrol and diesel. How nice of them- Not sure it is what is needed to solve the productivity crisis!! #ukeconomy #ukgovernment #costoflivingcrisis
Raid inheritance and tax electric cars to bring down debt, says IMF - latest updates
telegraph.co.uk
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Neil Roets, the CEO of Debt Rescue, is deeply concerned about the recent municipal electricity tariff increases. He sees firsthand the struggles of over-indebted consumers and understands how this new burden will weigh heavily on them. Read the full article: https://lnkd.in/dakApgwC Debt Rescue has helped more than 65,000 South Africans become debt free. One lucky Debt Rescue client will WIN R50,000! How we help: 1: Immediate financial relief 2: One Reduced Payment (consolidated) 3: Protection against legal action Requirements: 1: Must have an income 2: Must not be under debt review already www.debtrescue.co.za #DebtRescue #debtcounselling #debtreview #DebtConsolidation #financialfreedom #creditrepair #debtfreejourney #moneymanagement #budgetingtips #financialwellness #debthelp #FinancialEducation #debtrelief #personalfinance #ManageDebt #smartmoney #debtsolutions #financialplanning #debtadvice #FinancialSuccess #debtfreelife #debtconsulting #creditscore
Municipal tariff hikes deliver a shocking financial blow to workers
iol.co.za
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DRC Govt’s Fuel Subsidies Keep Prices Low but Rack Up Significant Debt Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of National Economy, Daniel Mukoko Samba, disclosed on Monday during a joint press conference with Minister of Communication and Media, Patrick Muyaya, that the Congolese government is heavily subsidizing petroleum product prices to keep them affordable for the population. “Currently, a liter of gasoline costs 3,475 Congolese francs and diesel 3,465 francs. However, when you purchase a liter of fuel, you’re only paying a fraction of its actual cost. The government covers the rest,” said Mukoko Samba. He explained that the subsidy ranges from 2,100 to 2,300 francs per liter. Without this government intervention, the true cost of fuel would be between 5,300 and 5,400 francs per liter. The minister also highlighted that this subsidy has led to a significant debt to oil companies. “By the end of December 2023, the government owed around $285 million to oil distributors. If this trend continues, the debt could reach nearly $400 million by the end of June 2024,” he noted. This debt represents the amount the government must reimburse to petroleum product distributors to cover the shortfall caused by the subsidy, ensuring fuel remains available at stations across the country. This revelation comes as the DRC grapples with escalating economic challenges, making the management of subsidies an increasingly critical issue for the Congolese government.
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“…the government appears to have succeeded in displeasing most stakeholders. Even with the effort to protect real estate players and retailers, these sectors are worse off in FY25. The urban middle class feels further squeezed by the increased tax burden, exacerbating the disparity between those within and outside the tax net. The situation is becoming increasingly difficult for the ruling party. Since the inception of PML (N), urban retailers, wholesalers, shopkeepers, and some professionals, particularly in Punjab, have been key its supporters. Now, these traditional voters are showing signs of discontent. It’s a lose-lose situation for the government…. …criticism of the IPP contracts is gaining traction, with the media joining business groups to demand renegotiation. Some commentators speculate that the powers that be back the business community against the government… ..The government has talked to Chinese on the reprofiling of IPP debt, which comprises the lion’s share of Rs2.1 trillion capacity payment due this year. They are likely to review each IPP on a case-by-case basis and try to reprofile the debt. Some journalists and commentators speculate that the reprofiling of Chinese IPP debt and other government bilateral debt rollovers are IMF conditions for approving the staff-level agreement at the board level. However, the Finance Ministry categorically denied this, stating that commentators are making stories based on general efforts to make debt sustainable. Other sources also confirmed that there is no debt reprofiling condition for the Fund board approval.…” https://lnkd.in/d9vnrfUu
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China’s broad budget expenditure contracted and income from land sales for local governments fell at a record pace, a sign of fiscal weakness that may further increase calls on Beijing to add stimulus, reported Bloomberg. The property fallout on public finances is becoming increasingly evident on the balance sheets of indebted local governments, whose revenue from land sales in July shrank just over 40% on year, the sharpest fall since comparative data became available in 2016. On August 26, China’s finance ministry and five other ministries revealed they have banned local governments from raising illegal or non-compliant debt for municipal infrastructure projects that yield no or insufficient returns, in a bid to curb so-called hidden debt. Local governments are desperately seeking new revenue streams by leveraging government-owned assets to address mounting debt pressures and dwindling coffers, reported Caixin. A document from Chongqing’s Bishan district went viral online, outlining the formation of a “Sell Everything to Save the Day” task force to liquidate state-owned assets, such as buildings, land and large equipment. The actual phrase for the Chongqing team is “smash the iron pot, sell the scrap”. This metaphor for sacrificing at all costs and extreme determination recalls Mao’s ultimately disastrous Great Leap Forward campaign in the late 1950s, when Chinese households were mobilised to melt down anything metal to boost steel production. The expression, which has reappeared in official narratives in the past year amid mounting debt pressure, highlights both the severity of China’s debt problem and the measures to resolve it. But it will take a long time before these measures bear fruit, if at all. Central government transfers and bond swaps will help some better service their debt, but for those in the most indebted regions increasingly desperate measures to raise funds are likely. #China #ChinaEconomy #Debt #PropretyMarket
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አደጋውም ጨዋታውም ተመሳሳይ ነው። መጀመሪያ አዘቅት ውስጥ ይገባና ትንሽ እርማት ተደርጎ ነገሮች ተሻሻሉ ተብሎ ይሸለላል 📯 Market distortions & 📈 debt persist in 🇪🇹 as long as misplaced subsidies (always at the expense of rural majority) and stupid dual ex/rates stick.📌 Urban beneficiaries can't have it always both ways (you pay🥜- you get 🙊s?) ... << If the government had not taken immediate corrective action, the country would have reached a point where it would not be able to import fuel due to debt,” said Bekelech Kuma, the Public Relations and Communications Director of the EEA. The price stabilization fund, which is meant to cushion the impact of global oil price fluctuations, had run dry, recording losses of up to 15 billion birr per month as the debt began to mount. This posed a grave threat to the country’s fuel supply, as 👉 the EEA had exhausted its deposits for fuel purchases and was drowning in debt. >> 🤔 https://lnkd.in/eRRJvGvZ
Government intervention prevents debt-induced import shortage - Capital Newspaper
https://www.capitalethiopia.com
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