Ellen Brown’s Post

Day 1 of my inaugural "2023 MSSP results week" - let's start with the $100M winner (and big winners in general). You see, I'm in heaven geeking out on the data, so I figured why not give myself 5 whole days to bore you all to tears with observations. As for the $100M, yep, you read that right. One single Medicare Shared Savings Program participant saved CMS $138M and took home $100M of it. Health Connect Partners (Providence) but get this... this is their second year running at around $100M in shared savings. Quick stats. ~125k beneficiaries. >8% savings rate. You bet I'm going to be digging into this one more because with this type of year to year success and a risk score that is actually reasonable along with 125k lives (talk about actuarial credibility) this isn't an anomoly, there is some best in class to share. Next up in the big winners. How about a 19.44% savings rate?! Congrats to Citrus Aco who took home a cool $10M for their ~7k lives. In case you are wondering that's $122 per beneficiary per month in shared savings. So how did they hit that number? Well their risk score is 1.419 for Aged Non-Duals compared to 1.077 for the $100M winner above. So when I tell clients risk score matters just as much as utilization for ACO (REACH or MSSP) you can see why... wonder how year 2 and year 3 of HCC v28 will play out for Citrus as it seems accurate risk coding is a key to their success. Side note, they are low revenue, wonder if they have any plans for ACO Flex? And to round out this quick top $$ winners edition: 🤑 The 6 participants that took home >$50M in shared savings - Baylor Scott & White Health ($79M, 118k lives), Palm Beach ACO, a perennial success ($73M, 78k lives), Mercy HealthACO ($70M, 115k lives), MercyHealth Select ($60M, 87k lives), Caravan Health Pathways ($57M, 247k lives - FYI only 2.65% savings they are just BIG, so total savings not very impressive) and Privia Health Quality Network, LLC, only one of their eight MSSP ACOs ($70M, 61k lives) Don't worry, I'm going to cover the biggest winners NOT based on totals but based on savings rates later in the week. And dedicate a day to the "aggregators" like Privia and Aledade. And of course dedicate a day to biggest losers although there aren't many this year - which is a story unto it's own. So what do you want to see tomorrow? We at BP2 Health may have fun investing in effecting REAL change with The Reverse Mullet Healthcare Podcast but we also know ACOs like the back of our hand.

medicare savings impact patients' lives profoundly. innovative models deserve spotlighting to drive industry progress.

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Lonnie Hirsch

Leveraging the power of focused, directed, and actionable collaboration to help improve healthcare delivery, access, and experience for patients, care providers, payers and employers.

4w

If you get any deeper in the weeds, Ellen. you may never be found again! But seriously, for healthcare data geeks (including yours truly), these are good callouts regarding ACOs that have figured out how to tap into shared savings while hopefully helping older patients get and stay healthier.

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Sarah Kachur PharmD MBA BCACP

Johns Hopkins Innovation | VBC & Pop Health Results | Founder @ Illustra Health

3w

Love this Ellen Brown, look forward to hearing your thoughts on how v28 will change the importance of coding vs. utilization improvements

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John Criswell

Entrepreneur, Investor, Inventor, Advisor

3w

Super insightful! Thank you Ellen Brown 🤘🏻🤘🏻🤘🏻

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Beth Saxon-Phillips

Guiding CEO's & Business Owners with People Strategies | On a mission to guide and connect innovators to help communities flourish

2w

Wow- good news in healthcare- what a welcome surprise. Thank you for calculating and sharing!

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