CEPREMAP’s Post

President Emmanuel Macron of France has issued a stark warning about Europe's economic future, cautioning that the continent could face collapse if it continues to rely heavily on external nations such as the United States. This assertion is supported by a recent report from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which predicts that Europe may fall out of the top ten global economies within the next five years. Macron has highlighted three key reasons why Europe's economy could falter. Firstly, the continent's heavy reliance on Russia for fertilizers and energy poses a significant vulnerability. Secondly, Europe's dependence on Chinese production could jeopardize its economic stability, especially given the current global trade tensions. Finally, Macron pointed out that Europe's security and defense are heavily reliant on the United States. These warnings underscore the urgent need for Europe to diversify its economic dependencies and strengthen its internal capabilities. As leaders and stakeholders, we must heed Macron's words and take proactive steps to mitigate the risks facing our economies. This includes investing in domestic industries, fostering innovation, and enhancing cooperation within the European Union. However, it's essential to open the floor for discussion and hear from others on this matter. What are your thoughts on Macron's warnings? Do you believe Europe is at risk of economic decline due to its external dependencies? I welcome your insights and perspectives on this critical issue. Let's engage in meaningful dialogue to explore potential solutions and safeguard Europe's economic future. #EuropeEconomy #GlobalEconomicTrends #EconomicDependency #InternationalRelations #EconomicSecurity

Why is it the habit of Canadian political parties to campaign on issues that the other parties put on and do not take off the table? why is the vision of Canada they hold as leaders and Central party strategists hidden? why do none campaign on a vision they have for Canada, exactly outlining their end game and intermediate steps projected? our Canadian way seems to let core Canadian parties battle on taxes. green vision, and how they will cater to and please lobby groups activist agendas, on social and economic issues. why ? why do we not demand they show their hand and articulate their broad policy framework and vision? can we as voting Canadians blame anyone but ourselves for electing fools who hide their plans?

The recent BRIC Conference has sparked a reflective point in geopolitical changes. The interest of many non-western nations provides sufficient in speculating global economic reforms. The agenda of China and India as key superpowers will be closely analyzed on how their changes in foreign policy and relationships with respective populous nations like Africa, Russia, and Brazil will take shape towards global economic reforms. The article below provide extensive insights to consider and observe. Enjoy the content. Read more: https://lnkd.in/dH9zwzfB

B&H Economic Insights: Moderate economic outlook In March Bosnia and Herzegovina reached one of the most important foreign policy goals in history– getting the EU Negotiator country status. The economy kept growing at a below-average rate real GDP of 1.7% yoy in 2023 with consumption and investments driving the economy. 📌 Read the full publication by Ivona Kristic Zametica & Asja Grdjo: https://lnkd.in/dsffQYxX

Our Chief Investment Officer, Marc Ellazidi, offers insights into France’s economic challenges in the latest Macro Talks episode, highlighting the unusual trend of French bonds now yielding higher than Spanish ones—a notable shift from historical norms. In this video, Marc examines France’s economic challenges—such as high debt and low productivity—in contrast to Southern Europe’s resilience and GDP trends. He discusses PMI as a key indicator of these issues and compares France’s performance with Germany's stability. Marc also highlights how the European Central Bank’s recent rate cuts influence global interest rates and market confidence in the region. Catch the full episode for a closer look at these evolving dynamics and their implications for France’s economic policies. Follow the link below with our 6k viewers on our Merill Talks YouTube Channel: #economy #investing #stockmarket #interestrates #yields #funds #FrenchEconomy #SouthernEurope #Finance #MerillInvestors

ICYMI: Yesterday we released our newest Regional Economic Outlook report for Europe - “Soft Landing in Crosswinds for a Lasting Recovery”. The disparities in per capita income coupled with the need for structural reforms, aging populations, and environmental commitments, underscore the need for a comprehensive growth strategy in the region. Meeting these challenges will not be easy. Yet Europe has shown it can overcome even the most severe obstacles when acting decisively and together. Check out the full report here: https://lnkd.in/gS-UvwDa

I am humbled and honored by the extraordinary leadership opportunity to participate in the 2024 Spring Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG), from April 15 - 20, 2024. From Vision and Ambitious Ideas to Bold Action for World-class Solutions to Challenges, is Technology a Game-changer? Do METRICS matter? 1) In 2024, what is the global list of the TOP 50 High Risks and Challenges? 2) What is Policy? How to build a robust economy? Discover a scientific guide to help organizations create a culture of trust, H/R capacity building, Development, and knowledge sharing. 3) How to assess organizational readiness and preparedness?  4) What is Geo-economic fragmentation in the context of international trade? What is Policy? And what is the impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on Policy formulation and Implementation? 5) What is economic fragmentation? About the division of trade and economic activities along geopolitical borders? My Global Leadership Legacy as CEO and Global Servant Leader with World-class experience, technological prowess, hands-on expertise, growth mindset, business and digital acumen: Putting People First drives my Executive and Leadership Career Success across Countries, Cultures, Organizations, Industries and Sectors. Putting People First drives my Global Executive and Leadership Career Success across countries, cultures, continents, organizations, industries, and sectors. Putting People First is a powerful leadership philosophy that transcends borders and industries. Putting People First is the holistic approach to Boldness in Effective Management and Executive-leadership. Here's how "Putting People First" can contribute to professional success across continents and cultures: As Global Servant Leader with world-class experience and digital acumen, I am thankful to my MOM and DAD as two highly successful entrepreneurs, business leaders and strategic data-driven problem solvers and decision-makers. I am grateful for their character, ethical values, cleverness, empathy, and high standards. In the disruptive era of artificial intelligence (AI), what is Boldness in Effective Management and Executive-leadership? How to transform vision into action? And how to execute a strategic operating plan? Effective leadership involves expert-knowledge of cutting-edge technologies, such as the Artificial Intelligence AI’s impact on various industries, identifying growth opportunities, streamlining inefficient processes, and fostering collaboration across disciplines.   Upskilling Imperative and My Global Leadership Legacy, Scientific Journey, and Milestones: As Inspirational and Global Servant Leader with world-class experience, and technological prowess, I stay on top of the discussions with purpose, vision, and intellectual curiosity. I put people first in my strategic plan. I urge C-suite executives to take concrete and measurable steps toward meeting objectives and goals.

Europe faces economic challenges like the energy crisis and inflation. With growth rates of 0.8% in 2024 and a prediction of 1.5% in 2025, can Europe reignite growth and build resilience? Watch an expert discussion on Europe on the #FII8 livestream: https://bit.ly/FII8tvD1

📊 BLOG: Geopolitical Shocks and Economic Uncertainty Could Spark an ‘October Surprise’ 🌍 While the financial markets seem stable, the 'real world' is grappling with growing chaos. From the Middle East and Ukraine wars to the US election and China's economic slowdown, significant disruptions could hit the markets hard this October. Don’t miss Paul Hodges' latest Chemicals & The Economy blog post for a deep dive into how these global tensions might shake the sector. #ICIS #Blog #Economy #MiddleEast #Ukraine #China #US2024 #Oil #Geopolitics Read more here: https://lnkd.in/ejHP9b34

The recent BRIC Conference has sparked a reflective point in geopolitical changes. The interest of many non-western nations provides sufficient in speculating global economic reforms. The agenda of China and India as key superpowers will be closely analyzed on how their changes in relationships with respective populous nations like Africa, Russia, and Brazil will take shape in global economic reforms. The article below provide extensive insights to consider and observe. Enjoy the content. Read more: https://lnkd.in/dH9zwzfB