To demonstrate how broken mkt are tied to use of ETFs & Algo trading rates rose yest based on single rpt by s&p on economy diverging from months of data points that show economy is slowing. What was consistent was inflation persists despite that tied to inflationary govt spending. The lesson dont read headlines & react and never let a single headline sway you from what u see & hear. Stagflation is here and economy isnt growing and eventually that may get reflected in rates at some pt. Lastly the above isnt taught in a CFA exam but accumulated over decades via experience & talent. When will investors & mgt firms understand talent is measured in returns.....
Leonard Brecken - Investment Advisor/ Portfolio Manager’s Post
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To demonstrate how broken mkt are tied to use of ETFs & Algo trading rates rose yest based on single rpt by s&p on economy diverging from months of data points that show economy is slowing. What was consistent was inflation persists despite that tied to inflationary govt spending. The lesson dont read headlines & react and never let a single headline sway you from what u see & hear. Stagflation is here and economy isnt growing and eventually that may get reflected in rates at some pt. Lastly the above isnt taught in a CFA exam but accumulated over decades via experience & talent. When will investors & mgt firms understand talent is measured in returns.....
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Overall Trend: Bourse exhibited a strong bullish trend during the week, driven by positive earnings reports, improving economic outlook, and strong buying interest in value stocks, particularly in the banking sector. Investor Takeaway: Market's strong performance is driven by positive sentiment regarding the economic outlook and the government's progress on debt restructuring. However, technical indicators suggest the market is overbought, and a potential correction cannot be ruled out. Investors should exercise caution and consider their risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
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G Sec Investment Perspective : Part 2 : 《Analysis & Views are completely personal》 Given the factors stated in Part one , here are some key takeaways : - **Timing**: With the potential for a rate cut in the next 9-12 months, this could be an opportune moment to invest in G-Secs to benefit from higher yields before the rates potentially drop. - **Market Inclusion Impact**: The expected influx of funds due to the JP Morgan index inclusion will likely push yields down. Investing ahead of this could maximize gains from price appreciation as demand surges. - **Inflation Watch**: Keeping an eye on inflation trends and RBI's response will be crucial. If inflation remains controlled and within target, rate cuts could materialize, positively impacting bond prices. Actionable Steps : 1. **Monitor RBI Policies**: Stay updated on RBI's monetary policy announcements for signals on interest rate changes. 2. **Analyze Inflation Trends**: Regularly check inflation data to gauge potential rate cuts. 3. **Evaluate Liquidity Flows**: Track the impact of the JP Morgan index inclusion on liquidity and bond demand. 4. **Historical Data Review**: Regularly review historical bond yield data to identify trends and informed investment decisions. The historical data for Indian 10-year bond yields can be found (https://lnkd.in/gEJt4JcN) In conclusion, the current economic indicators and market expectations present a promising landscape for investing in G-Secs, particularly with anticipated rate cuts and increased demand from global investors.
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Useful, have a look! 👇 Q3 2024 Investment Highlights from J.P. Morgan 📊 The Fed cut rates by 50bps, kicking off its first easing cycle since 2020, while the European Central Bank (ECB) & Bank of England (BOE) lowered rates by 25bps each. Amid a global sell-off, bonds and equities showcased renewed negative correlation. Labor markets softened, with unemployment rising to 4.3%. Notable portfolio shifts included reducing equity exposure and increasing high-yield bonds, now offering a 7% yield. Despite volatility, US equities posted solid earnings growth of 11% Y/Y.
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The relationship between equity market returns (like NIFTY and SENSEX) and *economic indicators such as GDP growth and inflation* is indeed a fundamental concept. *Historically, the returns on these indices have generally mirrored the sum of real GDP growth and inflation,* reflecting the economy’s overall health and price levels. This relationship underscores the importance of economic fundamentals in driving equity market performance & *MF investor may have similar return on his Investment in Equity Mutual Fund.*
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To achieve returns that surpass fixed deposit rates and inflation, consider Adopting a disciplined investment strategy focused on tracking the Nifty index. When the Nifty index trades at a discounted level, typically 10–12% below its recent highs, it presents a strategic opportunity for investment. By taking a position in Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) during these periods, you stand to gain from the potential upside as the market corrects. Historical trends indicate that such discounted levels often lead to recoveries, yielding returns in the range of 10–12% over a few months. This approach offers a systematic way to leverage market movements while maintaining a diversified and low-cost investment vehicle through ETFs, aligning with long-term financial goals and outperforming inflation and traditional fixed-income instruments
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Good Morning to everyone! I hope everyone must have been doing good.Anyways coming right on point ,I am starting something new i.e putting up my research on equities and securities market. Today I was going through Nifty 50 Chart while observing, I noticed certain pattern is forming , Where I personally feel that Indian market has completed the short term high and is ready for some more correction and my levels for rebound are 24000 to 23800 in upcoming days! I feel one should find opportunity to sell on rise as markets seem bearish for coming weeks! Do let me know your thoughts on my DM! *Kindly note that i am putting it for knowledge and self learning purpose do your own research while taking any financial risk or kindly consult your advisor or do at your own risk appetite!* Happy Investing!
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Read our latest market update from Jan Meyer, CFA ⬇ This month's update covers: ➡ Record highs for major stock indices ➡ Changing interest rate expectations ➡ Recession in the UK ➡ Booming Indian equity market ➡ Distressed lending opportunities Link to the full update in the comments below ⬇
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Our Head of Fixed Income, Cash and Currency Zoran Josic, CFA recently caught up with Wouter Klijn at [i3] Investment Innovation Institute to speak all things inflation. 👉 Any general advice has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before you act on any general advice, you should consider whether it is appropriate to your individual circumstances. Before making any decision, you should obtain and read the relevant Product Disclosure Statement and Target Market Determination which are available at www.telstrasuper.com.au. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Inflation Could Surprise on the Upside
https://i3-invest.com
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Economic data releases play a crucial role in shaping trading activity on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), providing vital insights into the health and direction of the economy. As traders navigate the complexities of the ASX, understanding how key economic indicators influence individual stock prices and the market as a whole is vital. When significant ... Read the full article at: https://lnkd.in/eZBd-eyX
Trading the ASX – Get your head around economic data releases
https://thesentiment.com.au
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