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Advising, educating, and advocating for mobility innovation, automated driving, and AI

🚌 New Analysis: the Public Transit Paradox—Why More Funding Doesn't Solve the Problem I'm excited to share my latest newsletter, which examines a fundamental challenge in urban mobility: the "endless emergency" of public transit funding. Key insights from the analysis: 📊 The Economics: * Most North American transit systems only recover 40-60% of costs through fares * Even New York's MTA, with the continent's highest ridership, requires substantial subsidies * Only a handful of systems worldwide (Hong Kong, Singapore, Tokyo) achieve profitability... and even they don't do it consistently 🏗️ The Structural Challenge: * Transit requires density to succeed * Post-war North American development prioritized cars * This created low-density environments hostile to efficient transit * The result: a self-reinforcing cycle of service inadequacy 💰 The Funding Trap: When new funding arrives, it gets captured in predictable ways: * Labor costs increase * Management expands * Asset maintenance, a 'black box' of spending, drains it all away Service quality briefly improves, then regresses to baseline—but with higher operating costs 🤔 The Critical Question: Is this truly an intractable problem? Or, like other "endless emergencies" of the past (from childbirth mortality to fossil fuel dependence), can new approaches and technologies offer a solution? Read the full analysis here. #UrbanPlanning #PublicTransit #Transportation #Infrastructure #UrbanDevelopment #Mobility

Progress and Public Transit, Part One: the Endless Emergency

Progress and Public Transit, Part One: the Endless Emergency

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