American Club of Lisbon’s Post

In this edition of Up Close, we dive deeper into two big elections: the race for the White House and the race for New York City mayor.

How resounding was Kamala Harris’s debate win? Let’s look at the polls. By Aaron Blake Early results show Harris won by a historically large margin. And Trump voters acknowledged that and said it could impact their votes. Vice President Kamala Harris turned in one of the more resounding debate performances in recent decades on Tuesday night — to the point where Donald Trump’s allies have struggled to locate a silver lining. Precisely how much the debate could impact the race is an open question, as my colleague Dan Balz notes; we’re a very polarized country, and we don’t generally see big and sudden shifts in polls anymore. But small margins can matter greatly in our increasingly tight elections, and Harris clearly helped her cause. So just how emphatic was her win? And what do the polls suggest about what it could mean moving forward?

✅ Join CQ’s award-winning newsroom on Wednesday, September 11 at 2 p.m. EDT as we dive into Congress’ must-do tasks, the potential for delays, and the impact of looming elections, providing clarity in a time of uncertainty. 🏛️ Our panel will dissect the motivations driving Congress, the complexities of the legislative calendar, the impacts of the November general elections, and the potential implications for your organization. 🗣️ Our speakers: — Paul M. Krawzak, senior writer on the budget, appropriations, and tax team, CQ and Roll Call (part of FiscalNote) — Briana Reilly, defense and national security reporter, CQ and Roll Call — Jessie Hellmann, health policy reporter, CQ and Roll Call — Moderated by Jason Dick, CQ and Roll Call’s editor-in-chief 👉 Register now to get insights to help inform your strategies and navigate this unstable environment effectively. https://lnkd.in/eUKTV9Tq (With CQ and Roll Call, part of FiscalNote) #election2024 #elections #congress #governmentrelations

2024 Presidential election (and many, many, many elections before then?) —I believe, with almost 100% certainty, that the two party system in America has never served America’s best interests —If that is the case, and the U.S. government, possibly since its inception, has ever truly had America’s best interests at heart, why have we, since about 1840 had a two party system? —It leaves us off balance. The last thing you want to be, in any fight, is off balance. Maybe second up to that would be flexibility. I feel like the two party situation is a major strike out on both those counts. —what if we had a third party President and Vice President, one whose platform was truly 100% pro-American? —once they are elected, they would help create a third, “centrist” party in Congress, to bring balances to the inequalities America needs a better option for President in 2024 than Donald Trump or Joe Biden. We need someone who is 100% for America. And we need to do it within the system that we live. We do not need violence in the streets, or anything like that. Please like or comment to this post to acknowledge receipt of it. If you find it worth your time, please consider spreading the message to 2-5 people.

ELECTIONS on TUESDAY With next week’s election, the entire world order is on the line. This is not the time to vote based on a single issue. The complexities of today’s world mean that no one candidate or party will address every concern perfectly, but thoughtful leadership is essential. Many of us are deeply concerned about the state of the world—both the challenges we face at home and global unrest. Now, more than ever, we need leaders who bring empathy, respect, and a true commitment to all communities. We must reject divisive policies, especially those that target or marginalize entire groups of people or disrespect entire nations. As a global citizen, I’m especially disheartened by rhetoric that dismisses countries with harmful slurs, as we’ve seen with Puerto Rico and others. Every country deserves respect and dignity; any administration should be rooted in these principles. Similarly, the situation in the Middle East is an issue that affects us all, and it’s crucial to have leadership that approaches it thoughtfully. To build a world based on empathy and accountability, we must choose leaders who reflect these values. For this reason, I believe the Democratic Party offers the best chance to address the issues we face and to push for positive, meaningful change. Let’s vote Democrat, hold our leaders accountable, and work toward a better future for all. No matter what make sure you vote on Tuesday!

Curious about how elections influence market behavior? The U.S. Election Guide from #AmeripriseResearch explores historical market responses during election cycles and the role that the makeup of Congress historically plays. Between the Presidential party, Senate majority, and house majority there are several different combinations of party control that can make up our government coming out of elections. In this guide we look at how the market has responded during each of these scenarios and how often they have occurred.

mer. 4 sept. à 09 h 07 Joseph Reply: Confirm your RSVP for the Debate >>> Progressive Turnout Project is a 100% grassroots-funded organization with a single mission: rallying Democrats to exercise their right to vote to and win competitive elections. Joseph, we hope to have you on our team, but if you'd like to unsubscribe from our emails, please click here. Kamala Harris v. Donald Trump Presidential Debate Virtual Attendee Joseph Pierre Invitation Accepted? URGENT PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT VIEWERSHIP POLL 99501 DEMOCRATS Recorded Live on: 09/04/2024 Will you watch Kamala Harris debate Donald Trump on Tuesday, September 10th? %FIRSTNAME_LOOK_UPPER%%, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump will debate next week to fight for your vote this November. It’s crucial that viewership is high during the debate following Kamala's SURGE of momentum after the DNC. It’ll be critical to maintain Kamala's HUGE boost! We need to ensure that every Democrat is tuned in. But according to our records, you won’t be watching. We CAN’T believe that’s true!! So we need to know today: Will you watch Kamala Harris debate Donald Trump on Tuesday, September 10th? Thank you, Progressive Turnout Project

There is no question that Western democracies have lost their path in recent years and their governments have become increasingly detached from the realities of the communities they are meant to be serving. Pursuing the causes of tiny minority groups may make politicians feel good, but ultimately they will not get re-elected if they ignore the needs of the majority of voters. Marie-Antoinette made the same mistake and suffered a commensurate fate. Politics 101 - something that Trump understands and the Democrats clearly do not. In the Australia but also the US context, slowing inflation down now does not compensate the population for their more than 30% loss of purchasing power since 2020. They might rightfully ask where did all this money go and who got the benefit of all this wealth transfer? How did the government allow this to happen and how are they proposing to compensate us for it? They may ask why are Western governments continuing to transfer hundreds of billions of dollars overseas to support Ukraine war, Palestinian genocide, climate change policies, interference in foreign elections etc while saying they have no money to spend on local infrastructure? Voters ultimately do not care about such high ideal agendas as much as their care about their own well being and is it improving or declining. Given the 30% decline in living standards in US, Australia etc since 2020, no government who has overseen this, should expect to get re-elected. The problem in Australia is that both major parties with assistance from the minor parties and many of the independents are all equally culpable - how Australian voters will deal with this at the next election is yet to be seen - I anticipate the highest rate of informal votes plus maybe greater than ever support for election of any new truly independent candidates - not Labor tricksters as the Teals represent.

Wanted to share my final election predictions with you all. While there’s a fully detailed breakdown available, which I’ll link below, my top-line prediction for the Presidency is Harris winning 292-246. For full race predictions, including for the House and Senate, please take a look at my in-depth breakdown: https://lnkd.in/gxjjKHsN

Curious about how elections influence market behavior? The U.S. Election Guide from #AmeripriseResearch explores historical market responses during election cycles and the role that the makeup of Congress historically plays. Between the Presidential party, Senate majority, and House majority there are several different combinations of party control that can make up our government coming out of elections. In this guide we look at how the market has responded during each of these scenarios and how often they have occurred.