The questions of how many battery electric buses should replace diesel powered buses on a given route and what route characteristics influence the replacement factor are addressed in this paper. You can download your free copy at the link below.
🚍 Hello Transit Community 🚆 📝 Paper: "Decision support tools for effective bus fleet electrification: Replacement factors and fleet size prediction." Authors: Kareem Othman, Sarah Hamed, Diego Silva, Amer Shalaby and Baher Abdulhai This study develops prediction models to estimate the required Ebus fleet size to maintain same transit route services for the case of overnight depot charging, using data from Ebuses operating in the City of Toronto. The analysis reveals that Ebuses equipped with diesel auxiliary heaters are less sensitive to temperature fluctuations compared to battery-heated buses. Specifically, diesel-heated buses require a lower replacement factor (1.3) compared to battery-heated buses (1.4), with winter conditions exacerbating this disparity. Furthermore, the study employs vehicular, operational, route, and external variables to develop the prediction models. Check out our work at the link below: https://lnkd.in/g3Cu8hUE #ebus #tal #transit #ttc #toronto #uoft
Very interesting work.
Mostly retired Transportation Researcher and Urban Affairs Journalist
1moHaven't read it yet, but have you looked into battery-trolley hybrid buses that can charge while in service, at least on parts of routes and at the terminals? Those appear to be the models with the biggest upside, even if it means installing wires again in cities that ripped them out.