Tuna Beklevic

These are AZB-5 incendiary munitions. They are manufactured by Ukraine, specifically for delivery from the large Baba Yaga drones.   Judging from the video of the testing of the AZB-5, it contains a thermite – rather than a white phosphorous fill.   The designation AZB stands for Запалювальна авіаційна бомба (Aviation Incendiary Bomb). Perhaps this is a deliberate attempt to clearly distinguish Ukrainian bombs from the Russian nomenclature, which is ZAB, Зажигательная авиационная бомба (Incendiary Aircraft Bomb).   I will keep my eyes open for any future Ukrainian use of AZB rather than ZAB to see if this is part of a larger pattern.   https://t.me/TyskNIP/11062   #ukrainewar #OSINT #EOD

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One UAV hit TLV yesterday. Yet, this threat is not new. Around 1000 UAVs were launched against Israel's north Since Oct. 8th, the vast majority from Lebanon, in more than 350 attacks or surveillance missions. This number does not include small drones. This means more 350 times thousands of Israelis had to run for shelter in the past 9 months, since the Iranian UAV threat from Lebanon. Morover, in the past several months, every week there have been claims of responsibility for the launch of UAVs by the Iraqi militias, but only very few cases had additional indications that they actually happened - one of them was intercepted last night. From Yemen - 13 UAV attacks against Israel since the beginning of the war. From Iran - almost 200 UAVs were launched to Israel on April 14th. International and regional players assisted in intercepting them. BUT - Iranian UAVs are a also global threat! They were provided to Russia and used against Ukraine; The Huthis attacked around 150 times since October civilian vessels and American forces in the Red Sea; Iranian UAVs were also provided to Venezuela, and were seen in Caracas, 1800km from Miami.

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MEK Continues to Expose Secrets of Tehran’s UAV Program Over the weekend, the People’s Mojahedin Organization of Iran, the MEK, revealed evidence of a highly secret site run by the IRGC for the unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) in Iran. The site, located near the city of Qom, south of Tehran, is a training site for the IRGC members on all types of drones, including the Mohajer line of UAVs manufactured by the Qods Aviation Industry. Operatives of Hezbollah and other proxy groups of the clerical regime are also regularly trained in small groups to operate Mohajer-4 drones at this site. The site is also a proving ground for Mohajer-4, Mohajer-6, and Mohajer-10 drones. Documents and aerial imagery provided by the MEK reveal how the Qom site has expanded in recent years. A document obtained from within the Armed Forces’ Real Estate and Land Organization indicates that the site was first proposed as a UAV testing ground in February 2005. In May 2006, more than 4,400 acres of land near Qom were handed over to the Ministry of Defense and Armed Forces Logistics. Aerial photographs show the site’s first 500-meter runway, created in 2007, was expanded to 1000 meters in 2013 and 1,500 meters in 2020 so larger drones could also be tested. For over four decades, the National Council of Resistance of Iran, NCRI, relying on the MEK’s network inside Iran, has exposed Tehran’s missiles and nuclear programs and other aspects of the regime’s troubling conduct. In October 2021, for example, NCRI’s representative office in the United States held a press conference to disclose many alarming aspects of the regime’s offensive UAV program run by the Ministry of Defense and the IRGC, and in December 2021, unveiled the front companies of the IRGC used to import parts and expertise to build these drones. The NCRI maintains an unwavering commitment to world peace and regional tranquility as the Iranian people continue their struggle for freedom. The NCRI's continued revelations of the regime’s malign agenda are a clear testament to this commitment. It has become evident that the regime in Tehran is the notorious ‘head of the snake’ of belligerence and terror in the Middle East. Western capitals must exercise firmness instead of accommodation and engagement in dealing with Tehran and hold it accountable for its malign activities.

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On May 15, Hezbollah launched two suicide UAVs into Israeli territory. One reached the Golani Junction region, some 15 kilometers west of the Sea of Galilee, and struck a security installation. This is an aerial distance of 40 kilometers straight from the Lebanon border. The challenges in early detection, Hezbollah's mode of operation, the method in which the UAVs are flown, and the Russian lessons acquired during the conflict in Ukraine, which are adopted in the Iranian UAVs used by Hezbollah, pose a very great challenge in intercepting them. https://lnkd.in/dwAU_S-4

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December 9 headlines: "IDF says drone from Yemen came via Mediterranean Sea; jet scrambled too late to shoot it down" (Times of Israel) and "Reporter's Notebook: Rebuilding North will take five years: Two weeks after the ceasefire, almost no one has returned to the North." (Jerusalem Post). There's a heavy lesson here for civilizations, including theUS: Israel is plenty high tech, and yet it still has trouble with drones from low-tech Yemen and Lebanon. To be sure, the Houthis and Hezbollah have been getting most or all of their tech from Iran, or China, and yet they are hurting Israel, and flummoxing, at least to some extent Israel's tech (and by implication, U.S. tech). So what to do? Obviously we need to continue to develop missile defense, now including drone defense. Yet we might also have to come to grips with the fact that our buildings are just inherently vulnerable. It just might not be possible to defend a high-rise: It's inherently a soft target, perpetually vulnerable to an attack from increasingly nano-ized attack bots. If so, that suggests digging underground, at least to create the option of safety. So yes, many people will continue to want to live in high rises, taking their chances, and yet others will wish to burrow in, safe from projectiles, including mere bullets. And perhaps some who can afford it will want both: a high rise, and a bunker, in the same structure. To be sure, these are challenges. However, within every challenge is an opportunity. An opportunity, most obviously, to create a new industry of safer dwellings--and a more robust civilization.

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I understand the unique nature of the US-Israel partnership, especially in the military domain. But if the US is able to provide Israel with such support against Iran, why is it not possible to do the same for Ukraine against Russia?

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Here is a new, Russian, FAB-500T aircraft bomb.     It was fitted to one of the UMPK glide bomb kits but failed to detonate. This is the first time that this type of bomb has been confirmed to be used with a UMPK. The bomb was manufactured in 2022, which suggests that Russia has been working through its huge stockpile of bombs and is now having to use more recently-manufactured versions.   This new model of FAB-500T uses a TA-23 explosive fill and weighs 467 kg. The original version had a TNT explosive fill and was slightly heavier at 472 kg. The Janes EOD Guide says that the original version weighed 517 kg but I have photos of the 472 kg weight stencilled on the side of a FAB-500T, so I’m confident about that.   I have no information at all on the composition of the TA-23 explosive fill, which appears to be a brand-new (at least to me) composition. If anyone has any more information on the composition of TA-23, I would be grateful to find out.   https://t.me/TyskNIP/11751   #ukrainewar #osint #EOD

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These are the first official photos of the FrankenSAM.   This particular FrankenSAM is a joint Ukrainian/American development of the Soviet-era Buk air defence system to fire RIM-7 Sea Sparrow missiles. There are other versions that fire the AIM-9 Sidewinder and the PAC-2/PAC-3 CRI missiles used by the Patriot missile system.   The first declared operational success of this FrankenSAM was in mid-January.   When using the Patriot missiles, one of the problems faced by Ukraine is that the missiles are being used more quickly than they can be manufactured. This has resulted in some novel negotiations, with the USA having to arrange some buy-back deals with countries that are willing to trade some of their existing stock of missiles for promises of more in the future.   https://t.me/TyskNIP/11293   #osint #ukrainewar

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#Border #Israel🇮🇱#Lebanon 🇱🇧On July 9, 2024, Hezbollah released newUAV footage over Israeli territory, showing various locations around the Golan Heights and Mount Hermon. The video highlighted military sites, focusing on intelligence bases and IDF deployments, especially in the Hermon region. Unlike a previous video on June 18, which included civilian areas in Haifa Bay, this footage concentrated on military targets, with the exception of a wind turbine farm near Buqa’ta. The new video demonstrates #Hezbollah's efforts to refresh its intelligence through various methods, indicating battalion and brigade numbers at deployment locations. However, the recording and editing of the footage occurred over several months, involving numerous sorties with different UAVs. Hezbollah appears to emphasize the frequent infiltration of Israeli skies by its UAVs, aiming to enhance its #psychological #On July 9, 2024, Hezbollah released new UAV footage over Israeli territory, showing various locations around the Golan Heights and Mount Hermon. The video highlighted military sites, focusing on intelligence bases and IDF deployments, especially in the Hermon region. Unlike a previous video on June 18, which included civilian areas in Haifa Bay, this footage concentrated on military targets, with the exception of a wind turbine farm near Buqa’ta. The new video demonstrates Hezbollah's efforts to refresh its intelligence through various methods, indicating battalion and brigade numbers at deployment locations. However, the recording and editing of the footage occurred over several months, involving numerous sorties with different UAVs. Hezbollah appears to emphasize the frequent infiltration of Israeli skies by its #UAVs, aiming to enhance its #psychologicalwarfare.

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https://lnkd.in/gH9RNbqh whether-hezbollah-hit-iron-dome-013811777.html #presidentbiden in a post a few months ago we provided analysis indicating that #iran and #hezbollah would be ready for a direct fight with #israel when #iran had overcome their missile engineering issues in fitting 90% weapons grade nuclear warheads to newly designed missile technology. It looks as though they are there or will be in a couple weeks, building an arsenal of 8-12 nukes. And at that point they would be able to provide tactical nukes, perhaps only of the dirty bomb (60% enriched), to Hezbollah. The new designs are also constructed to penetrate, or at least to damage existing anti-missile technology such as the #irondome, reducing efficacy. Why only dirty bomb for Hezbollah? A political decision. Making parts of Israel uninhabitable isn't beyond the pale in the minds of Iran and Hezbollah. Their goal, destroy Israel. Your advisors need to understand, as do the peoples of Israel, Gaza, and the West Bank that too much of the Arab world, and perhaps to a good portion of the world these peoples do not matter. Why? For the Muslim world, the only land of value in Israel is Jerusalem, the people of Gaza and the West Bank are irrelevant to the Muslim world leaders. The only value of these peoples is as a tool to rationalize Israel's destruction. And for the rest of the world? The assets used to keep trying to reconcile a region with less than 10 million population out of 7 billion has been disaster of an investment. There is no strategic value to the land itself, beyond the symbolism and as said, this symbolism is all in Jerusalem to Muslims. So if you are looking for a High ROI strategy to prevent the #genocide of region and ensure we have an ally there we can trust ask us. Because I guarantee your people don't have a plan to deal with a scenario that envisions #iran #hezbollah and #hamas making parts, if not the majority of #israel a nuke desert. Mr. President, please take this seriously! Ask us in a for a High ROI review as part of a larger Global Strategic construct. The Joint Staff Office of the Director of National Intelligence NATO GCHQ DGSE - Direction Générale de la Sécurité Extérieure Bundesnachrichtendienst (BND) Israel Defense Forces Comments welcome! Bob Kerrey Joseph Votel Stan McChrystal James Jeffrey Mel Wick Abizaid John P. Fred Arooji Richard Shirreff General David H. Petraeus, US Army (Ret.) Admiral James Stavridis David Halverson @ehudbarak @zvischtauber Haim Kenig Andrew G. Ed Winters David Grange Brian Losey John Mulholland Richard Comer A. Bearden Ioannis Koskinas LR Tenuta Steve Smith Jen Easterly Mike Repass Charles Williams Paul Miller Ewan Smith Colin Richardson MBE 🟢Hamlet Yousef Jeff Eggers David Kilcullen Paul Cobaugh Raymond Freeland James W. Raycraft, Jr.

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The recent Wins of #Trump, #Modi, #Macron, #Meloni, and #Netanyahu have sparked quite a conversation on social media, haven't they? Many are interpreting these victories as a strong stance against #radical elements and a warning sign to #terrorists #worldwide ¹. It's interesting to note that these leaders have been known for their tough stance on terrorism and radicalization. For instance, Narendra Modi 's government has taken significant steps to counter terrorism in #India, while Macron has been vocal about combating Islamist extremism in #France. Similarly, Meloni's government in #Italy has taken a hardline stance on #immigration and #national #security, and #Netanyahu's administration in #Israel has long been focused on combating terrorism. * #Leaders' Reactions to the Wins* - Modi's Victory: World leaders like US President Joe #Biden, Canadian Prime Minister Justin #Trudeau, and French President Emmanuel Macron congratulated Modi on his win, highlighting the significance of India's position in global affairs ¹. - #Global Implications: The victories of these leaders are seen as a shift towards a more conservative and nationalistic approach to #governance, which could have significant implications for global #politics and #diplomacy. #Social #Media Reactions* Social media platforms are abuzz with discussions about the implications of these wins. Many users see these victories as a rejection of radical ideologies and a call for stronger national security measures. Others are more cautious, warning against the potential risks of rising nationalism and its impact on global cooperation. What are your thoughts on these recent developments? Do you think these wins will indeed mark a turning point in the global fight against terrorism? Your Comments are important to us , follow Dr. Rajat Sharma for More Updates

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The idea that Jordan aided or protected Israel by intercepting Iranian drones over its airspace is a narrative being promoted by many in the west and accepted as fact by detractors of Jordan. Those interested in learning more about this and the Iranian attacks may be interested in the following: - Israel has been heavily scrambling GPS this past week in order to diminish the ability of Iranian drones to navigate and reach its targets in Israel. Any users of GPS-based apps in Jordan can also attest to this. Uber users for example, struggle to order a ride because they appear in Beirut or Cairo. Iranian drones could have hit Jordanian targets by mistake and this is a risk that Jordan or any other country could not accept. - Jordan will not become an Israeli-Iranian battlefield and will not allow either country to violate its sovereignty or airspace. Any country has a right to protect its airspace and sovereignty this way. - Jordan’s Civil Aviation Authority publicly announced that Jordan’s airspace would be closed to incoming and outgoing air traffic at around 9pm local time and the Iranian attacks did not start until midnight. The attack was anything but a surprise. Iran telegraphed its intentions for everyone, including Israel, to see. There are even claims that they even informed the US of this beforehand. This furthers the claim that it was largely performative and had political rather than military purposes. We now have to wait for Israel’s performative response. The region appears to be held hostage to domestic Iranian and Israeli politics and the need for their leaders to save face. - Those in the west claiming that Arab cooperation in intercepting Iranian drones is evidence of an emerging patchwork of an Arab-Israel missile air defense system or a common Arab-Israeli front against Iran are either wishful thinkers or, even worse, spinning this incident for PR purposes. This is a distraction from Israel’s onslaught in Gaza and the need for an immediate ceasefire. - The key regional issue remains Israel’s occupation of Palestinian Territories. The only way in which comprehensive and long-lasting peace could be realized in the Middle East is for an end to this occupation through the establishment of an independent and viable Palestinian state. - We don’t need to respond to those rushing to demonize and scapegoat Jordan, this is nothing new. Jordan will continue to sacrifice itself for the Palestinian cause in a way that you can never appreciate. The people and leadership of Jordan are united in their support of Palestine.

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he Ambassador of Ukraine did not come to play, chiding the Security Council's inaction as russia (a core member!) breaks SC agreements to enter into an open military alliance with North Korea. “The military alliance with the DPRK exposes several truths about Russia. Let’s start with this very Chamber. protecting its accomplice." "Russia has undermined the monitoring mechanism for sanctions compliance. This has once again proved that the mafia regime in Moscow has nothing to do with the purpose for which the Security Council exists. Another truth is that all of Russia’s might is a bluff. It’s a gas station with a nuclear bomb. Since 2023, Pyongyang has been supplying weapons and munitions to Moscow, including ballistic missiles, in violation of multiple SC resolutions. In fact, the DPRK has become the main supplier of ammunition to Russia, thus fueling and prolonging its war against Ukraine This is yet another blow to the myth of “the second army of the world”, the army which in reality is begging from global outcasts, not only for weapons but also for manpower.

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Yesterday, President Shavkat Mirziyoyev delivered a keynote speech at the “BRICS plus” summit in Kazan, Russia. Here are a few points worth mentioning, including Uzbekistan’s stance on BRICS+, the Government’s policy on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and the Middle East settlement as well as Afghanistan. ✅ The world is rapidly moving toward division, with an increasing number of wars and conflicts inflicting profound sufferings, severe pain and irreplaceable human losses. ✅ I join the calls for achieving a global compromise through constructive dialogue, free from geopolitical rivalries, national egoism, and ideological prejudice. ✅ Uzbekistan intends to establish close collaboration with the BRICS New Development Bank to implement priority investment and social projects. We are also interested to expand practical cooperation in such areas as innovation, digital economy, green development and energy, barrier-free e-commerce. ✅ Together with our BRICS partners, we intend to closely collaborate on strengthening transport connectivity; creating new transcontinental corridors, forming reliable logistics supply chains and developing the cabotage transportation. ✅ I share the concern regarding the escalating conflict in the Middle East. It is increasingly evolving into a potential flashpoint of global crisis involving neighboring countries and major world powers. We are heartbroken by unprecedented humanitarian catastrophe in the Gaza and Lebanon. No political objectives can justify innocent civilian victims, especially children. Today, an immediate ceasefire and the delivery of emergency relief to the all victims are of paramount urgency. ✅ We believe that the only solution to the Israeli-Palestinian problem is a peaceful settlement of the conflict based on the “two-state solution” principle. ✅ When it comes to global and regional security, we cannot overlook the problem of Afghanistan. Our common task is not to isolate, but help the Afghan people and the de-facto authorities of this country to address the pressing problems of socio-economic development, peace-building and prosperity. https://lnkd.in/erqyJCnP

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