Steven Gwozdz

Can't wait to reconnect with the brilliant Amanda Herson and join the discussion with Maciek Gnutek and Iain Martin at Slush about our fund models and what they mean for Founders ❄ 🚀

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Is Now the Best Time to Raise a Private Equity Fund? According to industry leaders, it just might be. "I’m much more optimistic at this point in the cycle in 2024 than I was in 2023 and 2022," says Andy Lund, global co-head of Houlihan Lokey's Private Funds Group. Despite expectations of a slowdown, the first half of 2024 has been unexpectedly successful for PE managers raising capital. U.S.-based funds closed on $155 billion by the end of June, slightly ahead of the first half of 2023 (PitchBook Q2 2024 US PE Breakdown). Alex Russ, head of North America for Evercore's Private Funds Group, sees this as an ideal moment for GPs with open funds. "We saw fewer new fundraise launches in 2024 than in 2022 and 2023, leading to a slight easing, which we expect to continue into the second half of this year," he notes. However, challenges remain. LP capital is still largely locked until M&A and exit activities resume. Evercore anticipates flat PE fundraising figures for 2024 compared to 2023. Moreover, other asset classes are vying for already limited institutional capital, with private credit showing particularly strong growth. In this context, Maria Konnikova’s "The Biggest Bluff" offers an insightful analogy. Inspired by "Theory of Games and Economic Behavior" by John von Neumann and Oskar Morgenstern, the book explores von Neumann's belief that poker epitomizes the delicate balance between skill and chance that governs life. Doing well at poker isn’t just about playing well; it’s about playing well relative to everyone else. And even with the best strategies, luck plays a critical role. As Nobel-winning economist Daniel Kahneman notes, "The successful funds in any given year are mostly lucky; they have a good roll of the dice. There is general agreement among researchers that nearly all stock pickers, whether they know it or not—and few of them do—are playing a game of chance." The last two years were like drawing a bad hand in poker for those raising funds. The book also emphasizes the importance of thinking like a Strategist—something I’ve honed throughout my career. Each move requires reassessment based on new information. You need a plan that evolves with feedback and supports long-term, good decision-making. If you’ve lost your chips, was it due to an unlucky situation—or because your strategy was flawed? A recurring mantra of Poker Hall of Famer Erik Seidel is "less certainty, more inquiry." If that becomes your guiding principle, not only will you actively listen, but you will also adapt and grow. For GPs, strengthening relationships with existing LPs is more crucial than ever. Now is the time to leverage your learnings and craft compelling narratives that showcase your commitment to value creation and strategic growth. By highlighting your firm's ability to navigate complex market dynamics, you can strengthen LP alignment and foster the partnerships needed for long-term success.

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Markets talk. We listen. We've from heard from capital allocators (#VC, #PrivateEquity, #FamilyOffices....even #VentureStudios, #Incubators and #Accelerators) that due diligence is a bottleneck to deal flow. It's time-consuming, expensive and often, subjective. We've launched #VentureIQ by the 9point8 Collective to directly address this problem. VentureIQ is an AI-enabled diligence solution that provides rapid scale diligence reports with exceptional fidelity and demonstrable cost efficiency - all within a single business day. We're in our soft launch, now. So, if you want to gain back valuable time and expose the long tail of deal flow diligence, shoot me a DM or visit VentureIQ.ai.

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Big moment in sustainable finance: The White House and 5 major pension funds met to discuss on labor standards in private equity investments. Public pension funds, wielding trillions of dollars, are demanding a voice for workers within the traditionally opaque world of private equity at the encouragement of the White House. Pension funds are using their power for good. It's key to highlight environmental justice "wins" - examples that show profit and social good can go hand-in-hand. This is sustainable finance at work: empowering workers and fostering a more equitable financial system. #sustainablefinance #environmentaljustice https://lnkd.in/e6W6CszZ

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After a whirlwind two decades of a corporate career – which has spanned a traditional management consulting firm, a Fortune 500 toy company, a world class entertainment agency, and a growth equity fund, I’m excited to officially share that I’m striking out on my own with Shruti Sehgal. Together, we’re proud to launch The Moonshot Company – a new kind of strategic consultancy, representing high-growth talent, brands, and investors looking to accelerate their cultural and commercial success from a place of authenticity, creativity, and intent. The Moonshot Company will specialize in integrated brand and growth strategies–culled from our prior executive careers in consumer, entertainment, media, finance, politics, and PR. Throughout my professional life, I often found myself at the center of consumer industries undergoing a major landscape shift. Shifting consumer behavior, the proliferation of social media, digitally-native consumption, and revamped business models have underpinned every business I have been fortunate to be a part of. Winter has always been coming. And it is through that lens that I learned a lot about myself as an executive. My curiosity has always found that change exhilarating - and I am particularly adept at spotting through lines and opportunity amidst a constant state of flux. Rapidly transforming industries don’t scare me, stagnation does. And yet, I have always felt a natural tension between building these industry-specific skills and the freedom to add my own interdisciplinary instincts and perspectives to bear, especially on someone else’s platform. But as the world has changed, so have I: this very tension I once thought frustrating is now a reason for being.  If I could go back in time, I would tell my younger self that my own diverse range of experiences and multicultural consumer lens always has been, and will always be, as instructive to my success and growth as anything else. The future of business and culture requires differentiated voices and leaders who can bring a much wider set of skills and a unique blend of deeply-lived experiences – both personal and professional – to achieve transformational outcomes for clients, and this is the foundational vision of The Moonshot Company. Simply put: this platform didn't exist, so we built it. As mothers, former senior executives, culture-obsessed consumers, and South Asian women – Shruti and I are thrilled to put our skills, networks, and novel strategies to work for clients who share our values, and whom we feel uniquely compelled to deliver Moonshot-level results for. If our vision and founder story resonates with you, please reach out. And as we embark on this new journey, I’d love to hear more about your own Moonshot below. 🚀 💫

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It's interesting to see how valuation trends have shifted, especially the decline in up rounds this year. This data is crucial for founders and investors to set realistic expectations in a tougher fundraising climate. Understanding these trends can really help in planning for the future! 👏

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The Information just broke the news of the incredible $8B+ #fundraising haul, with General Catalyst nearly doubling its last total. Fund breakdowns include $4.5B for "core venture funds," $1.5B for their "core creation team," and $2B for "multiple accounts." This was a 33% oversubscription to their $6B fundraising target, which surfaced in April 2024 by the Financial Times. While this is great news for the #entrepreneurial founders, the key question /challenge for General Catalyst will be where to place the newly closed funds to deliver the returns expected by their #limitedpartners that entrust them with their hard-earned capital. What do you think? #management #venturecapital #privateequity #capitalmarkets

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In a new op-ed I penned for Institutional Investor, I discuss the changing strategic buyer landscape for enterprise software companies. With software continuing to grow well in excess of GDP, and digital transformation at the top of C-suites’ agendas, the trend of multi-billion dollar software companies being acquired by non-traditional buyers should continue to accelerate. As always, all comments are welcome!

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Great Article – Key points: (1) Interest-Rate Cut Impact: PE deal activity, is still facing challenges such as political uncertainties, weakened corporate performance, and a slow fundraising climate. (2) Already Priced In: Dealmakers indicated that the rate cut had already been factored into transactions over the past several months., (3) Value Creation Over the last two years, many PE firms have improved portfolio company performance by reducing costs and streamlining operations, which could result in higher valuations. (4) Deal Volume Growth: Projections suggest that PE deal volume will pick up in Q4 2024, with an estimated 9% year-over-year increase. This momentum is expected to continue into 2025. (5) Stagnant PE Exits: Despite an increase in US PE deal value (up 12% year-over-year in H1 2024 to $325.2 billion), PE exits remained stagnant, a critical issue as exits are essential for capital formation in the industry.

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On the Small Fortune Podcast, Carol talks to Mark Couchman, the founder of Silverado Premium Properties, the largest institutional investor in California vineyards before its sale to TIAA-CREF. In this information-packed conversation, Mark and Carol discuss: the importance of knowledge of the market in general and the asset (whether as a buyer or seller) in question; how to negotiate; offer strategies; building trust as a buyer or seller; how growers should think about decisions to crush grapes for sale as bulk wine; and many other topics. https://lnkd.in/g-pSjiT4

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From today's Axios 'Term Sheet' comes a remarkable indictment of his industry by Bobby Franklin, head of the NVCA: '.. but too many VCs have become so "founder-friendly" as to become lousy fiduciaries.' VCs need to remember they are fiduciaries of their LPs' $s. That means you are required to do all you can to optimize the investment decisions you are making on behalf of those LPs This includes continuing to learn how to invest better. For those fiduciary vcs, take a look at 'The Impact of Venture Portfolio Construction - Optimized DPI & IRR' - https://bit.ly/3Xniz3V

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It’s BOD & AGM season. After 9 BOD meetings and 7 AGMs there is a common theme. “Generally” Emerging Fund 1&2 managers w/o firm building experience; and Founders/ELTs who raised pre-seed generalist and family office party rounds at Seed or crossover/hedge fund capital at Series A. Same general dynamic… experience matters. #venturecapital #emergingmanagers #startups #familyoffices #lps

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As private markets welcome more investors to the space, the how becomes as important as the why. iCapital Chairman & CEO Lawrence Calcano came on the Alt Goes Mainstream podcast to break down the how and the why. How can investors gain access to private markets in ways that work for them? How can alternative asset managers better serve those investors? How can this all be done in a responsible, thoughtful way that sets up both investors and private markets for success in the long-term? What is the evolution of the different service models that enable GPs to unlock access to private markets for more LPs? Lawrence Calcano and I discussed these topics and more on the show. Thanks Lawrence for coming on the show to share your thoughtful perspectives on the industry and its continued evolution. Thanks to Ultimus Fund Solutions for sponsoring this episode of the Alt Goes Mainstream podcast. https://lnkd.in/eX7njq8b

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Thanks for inviting me TEN Capital Network and Hall T. Martin to talk about some of my favorite topics - climate tech investing and how we are building an energy transition economy in New Mexico.

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The alignment of public initiatives and private capital reaches a new milestone with Monroe Capital's White House-backed direct lending fund. 📈 In my conversation with FundFire, I discussed how this venture instills a new level of confidence for investors while paving the way for innovative private credit strategies. You can read my insights and more in the full article here. https://cw-an.co/4gH6Wh1

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Boards of Directors – How Relevant To The Business Is The Board? In 2014, activist investor Starboard Value successfully replaced all 12 directors on the board of Darden Restaurants. The following shows the Darden incumbent board at the time of Starboard's proxy fight, Starboard’s value creation plan initiatives, the Starboard director nominees and the before and after performance (revenue, EBITDA, EBITDA margin and stock price). Note especially the direct relevance of each Starboard nominee to the industry or some aspect of the value creation plan. How often do you see this level of relevance on public company boards?

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I've participated in 100+ conversations with venture fund LPs this year. The most frequently discussed topics include: Team dynamics Sourcing differentiation Decision-making and selection process Portfolio support Sector thesis Track record Model and deployment strategy Network Long-term vision Timing (why now) References Fund infrastructure and reporting

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"Small funds may have more incentive to produce higher returns The alignment of incentives between GP and LP varies drastically based on fund size. Managers of smaller funds who have invested substantial personal capital demonstrate an unwavering commitment to lucrative returns, while managers at the helm of colossal funds, buoyed by significant management fees, may exhibit a diminishing drive. This constitutes an almost incontrovertible structural benefit of managing a small VC fund. Furthermore, fund managers of established funds may, over time, raise larger subsequent funds and grow more risk averse. This can present a sub-optimal outcome for their LPs and, by virtue, manifests a bad omen for VC investing." https://lnkd.in/gHKgea4e

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