Bubble Alert: If folks don't realize, one of the best ways for a company to lose value and revenue is delaying new products that spur sales. So what happens when product technical delays plus competition equals drops in revenue?
Now due to US government regulation Chinese companies can no longer buy Nvidia Cloud GPUs directly unless they are the clocked down variants. They can still back channel though other Asian distributors. Meanwhile Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Meta/Facebook, Samsung, Huawei, Qualcomm, AMD, and ARM have all been hard at work building chipset competitors to Nvidia Cloud GPUs.
So will public shareholders punish Nvidia when revenue goes down due to both the delays to the Blackwell B200 and the active competition where everyone wants to shift to their own chipsets to get away from the massive markup of the over-priced Nvidia Cloud GPU. Remember, Nvidia does Consumer GPUs that range from $100 to $1000, then enterprise workstation GPUs that run $1,000 to $3,000. Then Cloud GPUs that run from $10,000 to $40,000. From $100 to $40,000, the GPUs are not 400x times as expensive to make. Cloud GPUs have massive profit, giving incentive for every other tech giant who can, to build their own.
So what happens to the AI Bubble when Nvidia revenue and profits dip and investors don't see magic numbers go up forever? No bubble lasts forever.
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The Verge: "Nvidia reportedly delays its next AI chip due to a design flaw/ The company’s next big AI chip may not ship in large numbers until next year, reports The Information."
Nvidia has reportedly told Microsoft and at least one other cloud provider that its “Blackwell” B200 AI chips will take at least three months longer to produce than was planned, according to The Information. The delay is the result of a design flaw discovered “unusually late in the production process,” according to two unnamed sources.
B200 chips are the follow-up to the supremely popular and hard-to-get H100 chips that power vast swaths of the artificial intelligence cloud landscape (and helped make Nvidia one of the most valuable companies in the world). Nvidia expects production of the chip “to ramp in 2H,” according to a statement that Nvidia spokesperson John Rizzo shared with The Verge. “Beyond that, we don’t comment on rumors.”
Nvidia is now reportedly working through a fresh set of test runs with chip producer TSMC, and won’t ship large numbers of Blackwell chips until the first quarter. The Information writes that Microsoft, Google, and Meta, have ordered “tens of billions of dollars” worth of the chips.
The report comes just months after Nvidia said that “Blackwell-based products will be available from partners” starting in 2024. The new chips are supposed to kick off a new yearly cadence of AI chips from the company as several other tech firms, such as AMD, work to spin up their own AI chip competitors.
The Verge: https://lnkd.in/gDMjxusQ
#ai #cloudai #cloudgpu #gpucloud #cloud #nvidia
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