BMS Tropical Update 09/27/2024
The "No Surprises" initiative aims to provide the insurance industry with insightful updates on tropical events like Hurricane Helene, highlighting the event's unique impacts on insurance-related concerns. While agencies like the National Hurricane Center provide vital forecasts, these BMS Tropical Updates focus on key nuances relevant to insurers, such as tree fall, storm surge, building density, and how catastrophe risk models might respond. Hurricane Helene made landfall in Florida’s Big Bend as a Category 4 storm, marking a record eight Category 4 or 5 U.S. Atlantic hurricane landfalls since 2017. Despite clear warnings, the event underscores the ongoing production gap in flood insurance, with many affected areas having minimal coverage, leading to significant uninsured losses. We need to remember the catastrophic models likely do not have events that match Helene forward speed, size, and intensity, and it will be a few days until they can provide realistic events for loss estimate.
As Helene continues to affect inland areas, particularly the Appalachian region with record rainfall, flooding and potential landslides, the insurance industry is gleaning new insights for future preparedness. While additional work on intensity forecasting is needed, improved forecast models did accurately predict Helene’s severity. In response to these challenges, research teams and technology, such as drones and Doppler radar, captured valuable data during Helene, offering critical information for future loss analysis. Additionally, advanced storm mitigation measures, like Tampa General Hospital's AquaFense, showcased effective ways to limit damage. Despite Helene’s destruction, the insurance industry’s ability to adapt and build resilience continues to evolve.
For more detail above below, take a few minutes to read and get educated on a unique aspects of #Helene that you likely won't read any other place. ⬇
https://lnkd.in/g_4PA7TJ
Below is the BMS iVision 3 second wind gust swath, which is a geospatial data layer BMS clients can use to understand wind impact to specific risk better and apply damage ratio to get an idea of loss. This data layer from Verisk Respond gets updated four times a day and depicts at a high resolution what types of wind gusts could be experienced over the entire life of the storm. Other data layers include 1 wind speed, wind duration, and accumulated rainfall.
#HurricaneHelene #TropicalUpdate #HurricaneSeason #Insurance #Reinsurance
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