Asset Class Mastery: Maximize Profits From Forex, Futures, and Cryptos
By Wayne Walker
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About this ebook
This unique book is an intensive combination of three asset classes, forex, futures, and cryptocurrencies. You begin in the world of currencies, travel to commodities and ending in cryptocurrencies. As with all of Wayne's books, the emphasis is on practical applications with a personal touch. The results from past students and readers confirms their effectiveness.
The book includes the following and much more!
- Step-by-step guide to understanding from beginner forex into advanced technical analysis indicators
- Strategic trading tactics
- Using crops and energy sector seasonality to your advantage
- Beginner to advanced commodities trading strategies
- Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency Trading Tactics
- Trader psychology (bonus chapter)
- Using multiple time frames
-Selecting the correct trading partner
This is a combination of Wayne's books: Tested Forex Strategies, Futures Trading Strategies, and The Guide To Mastering Bitcoin & Cryptocurrencies.
Wayne Walker
Wayne is known for the success that his students and readers of his books have. He is a trader trainer, coach and entrepreneur in demand. From his base in Copenhagen, this demand has led to trader training & speaking engagements in the United States, China, Jamaica, Norway, United Kingdom, Sweden, etc. Prior to Europe, he was based in New York City. His books are used to teach some of the world's brightest for ex. at Copenhagen Business School & Nanjing University. He is also a guest columnist to several financial magazines, for example CryptoCoin.news and in Spanish at Estrategias de Inversión. He has held several positions in investment banking including: Regional Manager for teams of Investment Advisors servicing North America & Middle East Regions (based in Denmark and London), Training Consultant to financial institutions. He also headed the Trader Training program at a leading investment bank.
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Asset Class Mastery - Wayne Walker
What is Forex?
In this chapter we will examine the foreign exchange market, the participants, what makes the market move, and why you should want to trade it.
So what is Forex (Foreign Exchange) or FX as many people call it? , it is the world’s most liquid market. The average daily turnover is over 4 trillion US Dollars. This is a huge number, but to put it in perspective, one day of FX is roughly 2 to 3 months of trading volume on the New York Stock Exchange. This is powerful, it means a lot of liquidity and that a lot of people are involved in it.
It is OTC traded, meaning over-the-counter with no central exchange, in contrast to the equity or commodity markets where there are central exchanges that buyers and sellers meet. With FX, it is just you and your broker/dealer.
It is open for 24/5 trading, from Sydney 5 AM on Mondays to New York 5 PM on Fridays. Plenty of time, allowing for round the clock trading.
Centers and Participants
Who are the people that are involved in this FX phenomenon?
First we will take a look at the FX centers. The main centers of FX are the UK, US and Japan. They are responsible for the bulk of the trading. Australia, Singapore and Switzerland are also important players in the market, but the main players remain US, UK and Japan.
Banks and Financial Institutions
It is primarily major banks and financial institutions, they account for roughly 50% of the transactions. They trade electronically amongst themselves.
The central banks are also involved and their role is to intervene in an attempt to influence the value of their currencies.
Let us take a closer look at this. Maybe the most famous of central banks, the Federal Reserve Board, they and also the Bank of Japan, are at times known to be active participants in the market in an attempt to influence the strength or weakness of their currencies. A FX trader must be aware of the roles that they play.
Additional Participants
There are now FX hedge funds, years ago if you mentioned FX hedge funds most people would not know what you were talking about, because they did not exist. There are funds that trade either one particular currency or regional currencies, and for those that have an interest they are available.
Other participants are the brokers, both voice and electronic, they serve as intermediaries between banks and dealers. Banks and dealers turn to them for assistance in finding the best deals, but the days of voice brokers are numbered, because most activity now is electronic. There are many firms today that have dealer free desks.
Corporations are also involved, especially the multinationals who have currency risk that needs to be hedged and also for their own speculation. Several international corporations have their own trading desks which they use for prop or proprietary trading.
A hedging example could be, an American company purchases goods from Japan and they receive an invoice that will be due in Yens. To hedge against a potential loss, where the amount due might increase in USD due to fluctuations in the currency, they open a position in the market.
A note on hedging, what we are discussing is removing the risk of holding a particular asset. The main focus is not necessarily on making a profit. For example, in the futures market we might have a wheat farmer and he is what we would say, long wheat. He is afraid of a price fall, so he sells wheat futures contracts to be hedged in case of a fall. If prices do fall, he would make up the loss on the down side. He does not make a profit, but he does remove the risk of holding the wheat.
Private Purposes
For most of us, international travel is a common activity, therefore most people when travelling will need the currency of their destination.
Our overseas purchases are also a factor. If you are sitting in New York and are looking to buy a pair of shoes in London over the internet, normally they will not accept USD, so you will need to convert to British Pounds.
There is also speculation, and this has been one of the main drivers in turning FX into a very hot market over the past few years where people are buying and selling just for speculative purposes.
What moves FX?
What is going on in the market? Why does it move? Several things, it could be rumors , it could be from government intervention, for example if the Bank of Japan enters the market in an attempt to shore up the Yen to prevent a slide, some traders might take it as a cue to start being long (buying) Yens and short (selling) the other crosses against it.
Data
Non-farm payroll is one of the major reports. Also whenever there is a rate decision from the Fed, Bank of England, ECB, or Bank of Japan etc., these are known market movers.
Wars, terrorist acts, whether it is events in the Middle East or other hot spots in the world, they can and do affect the market and in some cases quite drastically.
Central banks, as we touched on with their intervention, sometimes will do as we say talk down
a currency. For example, bank governors without entering the market with direct intervention can influence it. It could be something where a central bank governor passes a remark at a news conference saying I think the currency is getting overvalued and we might need to do something about it
or in some cases they might say the strength of the currency is of concern to us and it’s affecting our competitiveness.
Depending on who is saying it, the results can be dramatic, and in some cases it is due to a total misunderstanding of what the person was trying to say.
Other Events
Political events and elections can also be major influencers. Someone who has a hawkish view of their currency, being elected to office could be a signal that the currency will appreciate.
Technical levels are also important with some currencies, especially with the round numbers that traders like to focus on. An example could be of a currency pair that is trading at 1.3995 and it has never been above 1.4000, then it begins moving even closer to 1.4000. This 1.4000 level could be seen as psychological that will be watched very closely, and if it is broken you could see what is called a breakout to the upside.
Using our example, if the currency pair is trading at 1.3995 and it goes above 1.4000, you might see that it shoots up to 1.4095 and then drops all the way back to 1.3995. Then we would say it was a false breakout, but there is the chance that it could be real and remain at the 1.4095 level.
Why do you want to trade FX?
You might be saying to yourself, all this is great info but why should I want to trade FX? There are many reasons.
Liquidity
Number one is liquidity, it is unmatched, there is nothing out there even close, as we mentioned at the beginning just a day of FX is two to three months of volume on the New York Stock Exchange. That is powerful.
24 Hour Trading
You have the 24 hour trading possibility, you can trade night or day. There is nothing else that offers this type of flexibility, and for the majority of traders who are business owners or have full time jobs, in some cases even university students, this is great.
Long or Short Option
FX gives the long or short option, this is very important. Traditionally most people are accustomed to being long, buying a particular share and hoping the share will increase in value. FX gives you the option of going short, it is a different way of looking at the market, but it can be lucrative. For the savvy traders it is a tool to use to take advantage of the market.
Correlation to other asset classes
Low correlation to other asset classes,