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Web publishers can no longer rely on robust growth in nonvideo programmatic digital display
Web publishers’ two main distribution sources are getting squeezed
Amid the squeeze, publishers are considering unfavorable options
There are some bright spots for web publishers
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Web publishers are dealing with a double dose of pressure on the audience side: Google search is showing users more results that do not drive clicks to publishers, and social platforms are deprioritizing publisher content in their feeds. On the ads side, publishers have to confront advertisers’ growing disinterest in nonvideo display. While that format will grow faster than it has in the previous two years, growth rates will still be slower than they have been for most of the previous two decades.
Key Question: How are web publishers adapting their ad businesses to the pressures they face from Google and the programmatic ad market?
Key Stat: Nonvideo display’s share of total programmatic digital display ad spending has fallen by just over 15 percentage points over the past four years.
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Executive Summary
Web publishers can no longer rely on robust growth in nonvideo programmatic digital display
Web publishers’ two main distribution sources are getting squeezed
Amid the squeeze, publishers are considering unfavorable options
Nonvideo Display Will Represent Less Than 40% of Programmatic Display Ad Spending in 2024 (billions in US programmatic nonvideo digital display ad spending)
Nonvideo Display Will Represent Less Than 40% of Programmatic Display Ad Spending in 2024 (billions in US programmatic nonvideo digital display ad spending)
PMP Ad Spending Will Have Nearly Triple the CAGR of the Open Exchange Between 2020 and 2026 (billions in US real-time bidding display ad spending and CAGR, by transaction method, 2020-2026)
Advertiser Demand for Premium Inventory Has Grown Twice as Fast as Demand for Nonpremium (average annual % change in demand for digital ad impressions worldwide, by destination, 2019-2023)
Most Advertisers Will Direct Their Budgets Toward Channels That Do Not Rely on Third-Party Cookies (% of US marketers on how deprecation of third-party cookies will change their company's digital ad spending, March 2024)
Social Page Views in Jan 2024 Were 33.4% Lower Than They Were in Jan 2019 (billions of page views referred from social media sites worldwide*, Jan 2019-July 2024)
Nonvideo Display Will Represent Less Than 40% of Programmatic Display Ad Spending in 2024 (billions in US programmatic nonvideo digital display ad spending)
PMP Ad Spending Will Have Nearly Triple the CAGR of the Open Exchange Between 2020 and 2026 (billions in US real-time bidding display ad spending and CAGR, by transaction method, 2020-2026)
Advertiser Demand for Premium Inventory Has Grown Twice as Fast as Demand for Nonpremium (average annual % change in demand for digital ad impressions worldwide, by destination, 2019-2023)
Most Advertisers Will Direct Their Budgets Toward Channels That Do Not Rely on Third-Party Cookies (% of US marketers on how deprecation of third-party cookies will change their company's digital ad spending, March 2024)
Social Page Views in Jan 2024 Were 33.4% Lower Than They Were in Jan 2019 (billions of page views referred from social media sites worldwide*, Jan 2019-July 2024)
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