SpecialEurasia

Merry Christmas from #specialeurasia 🎄✨ On this festive occasion, we extend our warmest #christmas wishes to all our followers, valued clients, dedicated customers, and cherished community members around the globe. As we gather to celebrate the joy and peace of this season, we are reminded of the connections that bring us together—across borders, #cultures, and #industries. Your trust, support, and engagement have made this year truly remarkable, and we are deeply grateful for each one of you. May your holidays be filled with happiness, and may the coming year bring success, health, and prosperity to you and your loved ones. #holidays #christmas2024 #eurasia

The destabilisation of #syria resulting from the #assad regime’s fall, further complicated by the repatriation of radicalised militants to #centralasia in the last years, constitutes a substantial #security #risk to the region. Central Asian nationals’ involvement in various #syrian #onflict factions and related reintegration efforts reveals the dual threats of #terrorism and ideological #radicalisation. If not effectively managed, these developments could destabilise Central Asia and increase regional dependency on external actors for counterterrorism activities and security support, especially #russia 🇷🇺, #turkey 🇹🇷, and #china 🇨🇳. This #report synthesises international and local data, together with previous #specialeurasia assessments, to analyse the consequences of Assad’s downfall in Syria and the potential contribution of Central Asian #foreignfighters. #geopolitics #terrorist #securityrisk #geopoliticalintelligence #riskassessment #foreignaffairs #middleeast #geopoliticalrisk #eurasia

Recent agreements to develop a #eurasian #logistics hub in Iran’s southern ports underscore #bishkek’s need for #maritime access, while #tehran positions itself as a regional economic hub to mitigate sanctions and increase its influence in #centralasia. This new partnership underscores the pragmatic alignment of both nations in #trade, #agriculture, and #transportation. This #specialeurasia #report examines the strengthening economic and strategic ties between #iran 🇮🇷 and #kyrgyzstan 🇰🇬, particularly focusing on logistics cooperation, trade expansion, and geopolitical implications. #geopolitics #middleeast #persianfiles #foreignaffairs #business #economy #geopoliticalintelligence #ports #persian #kirgyz

This #specialeurasia #report, written by Seyyed Mohammad Javad Hasheminejad, aims to analyse the evolution of #terrorism in #iran 🇮🇷, highlighting its peak in the 1980s with over 17,000 fatalities and its subsequent decline because of improved #security measures, citizen cooperation, and post-war reconstruction efforts. Despite a resurgence in the 2000s and 2010s driven by groups like the #islamicstate and #kurdish #separatists, comprehensive #military operations and security agreements in the 2020s significantly reduced #terroristattacks, though sporadic high-casualty incidents, such as the 2024 Kerman bombing, persisted. #geopolitics #persianfiles #middleeast #terrorism #iranian #riskassessment #geopoliticalintelligence #foreignaffairs

Thanks to my dearest friend, Giuliano Bifolchi, PhD, who agreed to deliver a very impressive and insightful lecture on #GeopoliticalIntelligenceAnalysis for my students at the UNESCO Chair of Political Science and Philosophy Yerevan Brusov State University of Languages and Social Sciences as a conclusion to the semester. Professor Bifolchi covered key topics such as the principles and applications of geopolitical intelligence, geopolitical forecasting, and the practical use of Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) tools. Given Professor Bifolchi's extensive background as an intelligence analyst, with significant experience in the Middle East, North Africa, Latin America, and post-Soviet regions, as well as his expertise in Islamic History and International Relations, we took advantage of this opportunity to ask him a wide range of questions and discuss recent geopolitical developments. #specialeurasia #politica e #diplomazia

The #islamicstate has utilised the recent collapse of the #assad regime and the rise of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (#hts) in #syria to intensify its ideological campaign. Through its latest issue of #alnaba (issue 473), released in recent days, the group has disseminated a #narrative portraying these events as betrayals of #islamic principles and evidence of external manipulation. By leveraging these themes, the Islamic State aims to undermine its rivals, bolster its legitimacy, and exploit instability to reassert its influence. #specialeurasia #geopoliticalrisk #terrorism #propaganda #jihad #middleeast #geopolitics #riskassessment #counterterrorism #security #jihadistpropaganda #isis

The #geopolitical landscape of the South #caucasus has undergone significant changes since the Second #karabakh War in 2020, transforming #iran 🇮🇷 #armenia 🇦🇲 relations into a more strategic partnership. Bilateral #trade has grown by 43% in 2023, reaching approximately $600 million, reflecting the deepening of economic ties. This #specialeurasia #analysis written by Amirhossein Ebrahimi examines how recent regional developments, particularly in #security cooperation and economic partnerships, have reshaped #tehran-#yerevan relations amid growing regional challenges. #geopolitics #persianfiles #kavkaz #foreignaffairs #diplomacy #geopoliticalinteligence #iranian #armenian #economy #internationalbusiness #middleeast

#specialeurasia live event: "Syria: Assad's Fall and Regional Geopolitical Risk" Don't miss today event on #syria and the local and regional #geopoliticalrisk. Giuliano Bifolchi, PhD, SpecialEurasia Research Manager, will analyse recent events and future dynamics with Matteo Meloni, #journalist and #analyst specialising in #middleeast and #geopolitics. You can follow the #liveevent at this link: https://lnkd.in/dx8ZiahA #geopoliticalintelligence #riskassessment #events #foreignaffairs #security #assad #hts #politicalrisk #internationalrelations

On December 9th, 2024, #specialeurasia broadcasted an online #event to provide an in-depth analysis of #georgia 🇬🇪’s political crisis. Giuliano Bifolchi, PhD , SpecialEurasia’s Research Manager, moderated a discussion featuring insights from Cesare Figari Barberis, Leiden University postdoctoral researcher, and Leonardo Zanatta, PhD candidate at Corvinus University and research fellow at the OSCE Academy in Bishkek. The session examined the recent #georgian #elections, addressing allegations of electoral fraud, the ensuing protests, and the broader geopolitical context. #geopolitics #onlineevents #caucasus #kavkazfiles #foreignaffairs #geopoliticalrisk #europeanunion 🇪🇺 #russia 🇷🇺

"GEORGIA POLITICAL CRISIS" - December 9, 2024 08.00 pm CET Don't miss today #instagram live video "#georgia 🇬🇪 political crisis". Giuliano Bifolchi, PhD , #specialeurasia Research Manager, will analyse the situation in Georgia with Cesare Figari Barberis, postdoc researcher at the Leiden University, and Leonardo Zanatta, PhD candidate in International Relations at Corvinus University of Budapest and a Research Fellow at the OSCE Academy in Bishkek. Watch the live vide and interact with us at this link: https://lnkd.in/dx8ZiahA #caucasus #kavkaz #geopolitics #geopoliticalintelligence #events #europe #europeanunion🇪🇺 #russia 🇷🇺 #research