Trend Prophets

Here is something you may not know: Nasdaq has dropped more than 3% in one day 256 times since 2000. The average performance the next day is +0.25%, +0.38% over the next 5, and -0.23% over the next 21 days. #python #ai #cordelltannyconsulting #etfs Source: EODHD

This was a great interview with Brandon Egervari Where we dive into how Trend Prophets works and some great insights into the market.

Calling all bitcoin enthusiasts! Trend Prophets is uniquely positioned to help maximize your crypto earnings, while more importantly, limiting your downside exposure. Tune in this Wednesday at noon on the @letsgobrand0 Instagram page to hear our own Cordell Tanny, CFA, FRM, FDP dive into all things Trend Prophets and crypto - you won't want to miss it.

📈 Can we finally say that the US employment picture is in a downtrend? Once again, we need to look beyond the headline figures in the employment report: 1) While the report showed a net positive creation of only 12,000 today, this was entirely due to government hiring. The private sector declined by 28k! That is not good (Figure 1). 2) Average hourly earnings continues to climb = sticky inflation??? (Figure 2). 3) Both part-time and full-time employment declined. (Figure 3) 4) Job openings continue to plummet. (Figure 4) Of course, we have to take into account some hurricanes and the Boeing strike, and we know that these numbers are frequently revised. We have many conflicting indicators right now. Add an election to that, and while we like to think investment strategists can predict the future (we can't), no one knows what the Fed will do next. Source: FRED #economics #investmentstrategy #assetallocation #python Digital Hub Insights Trend Prophets

The latest edition of the Trend Prophets newsletter is out! Warren Buffet is arguably the most successful investor of all time. But how does he rank up against common investment factors? Should we add him to our factor models? We take a look at his remarkable performance compared to the most common investment factors.

The latest edition of the Trend Prophets Newsletter is out! In this edition, we take a look at how we can use volatility to make better investment decisions. At Trend Prophets, we use a combination of volatility models to help detect trend changes and produce significant long-term advantages. Cordell Tanny, CFA, FRM, FDP #etfs #passiveinvesting #alternativeinvestments #quantitativefinance

With QQQ in correction territory, all of the typical charts are coming out. We went back to our trusted matrix profile algorithm to see what the future might hold. Note the word "might". The point is that sharp declines like this typically continue for a little bit. But the comparison to 1980 looks very good. 1980 was characterized by high inflation, a recession, and a crazy high Federal Funds rate. Rates were cut aggressively that year as a result. Looking at the pattern for NASDAQ in 1980, the parallels are quite close actually: - Currently in a high rate environment (at least relative to the last 15 years). - Inflation was high, but is coming back down to target levels. - We expect a rate cutting cycle to start. Looking at the following graph, it seems that Ed Yardeni's prediction of a tough market for the rest of the summer into Q4 and then new highs, the 1980 comparison could be quite good. But, this is just one pattern recognition algorithm. It is more anecdotal than predictive. #etf #passiveinvesting #assetallocation #investing #matrixprofiles Source: Yahoo! Finance, Trend Prophets

The latest edition of the Trend Prophets newsletter is out! Are fixed income investments more attractive than equities right now? We explain the Fed Model and what it is telling us. Cordell Tanny, CFA, FRM, FDP #etf #passiveinvesting #economics #investing #python

The latest edition of Trend Prophets Academy is out! In this edition, we look at:   - How you can easily structure the core part of your portfolio with high quality stocks. - Why most articles on financial news sites are click-bait that must be ignored. Cordell Tanny, CFA, FRM, FDP #passiveinvesting #investments #etf #finance #qualityinvesting

Why is no one talking about the Fed Model? For those who might not remember, the Fed Model is the spread between the S&P 500 earnings yield and the 10-year Treasury bond yield. 📉 It just turned negative for the first time in 16 years! 😯 Have bonds finally become more attractive than surging equities? Read my latest article to learn about the Fed model, and even better, how to code it in Python! I also take a look at the relationship between the Fed Model and Inflation using the Granger Causality test. Learn how to do this in Python! 🐍 https://lnkd.in/e6qBn-bk source: FRED, macrotrends.net, Digital Hub Insights #economics #python #quantitativefinance #assetallocation #investing Trend Prophets