PANGEA-RISK

PANGEA-RISK's Top Risks for Africa are out! We forecast the top risk factors across #Africa that pose short-term security threats to commercial operations in January 2025. ⚠️ Is #Somalia on the verge of a full-blown conflict with the semi-autonomous Jubaland State? ⚠️ What is behind the intercommunal violence in the western #DRC? ⚠️ What is driving civil unrest risks in #Guinea, #Mozambique, and #Malawi? Members of our Insight intelligence platform can download the full Top Risks briefing for January 2025 through the link in the comments section. 🤔 Curious about how our country risk solutions can help you mitigate risk and protect your investments in #emergingmarkets? Get risk aware and request a free trial of Insight today. Contact us through the link in the comments section. #Africa #TopRisks #January2025 #insecurity #riskforecasting #PangeaRisk

Key Elections in 2025 - PANGEA-RISK identifies the most important elections to watch over the coming year ⚠️ Which elections pose the highest risk of commercial disruption and civil unrest? 🤔 Where do incumbent leaders and parties face a strong challenge from the opposition? 🗳️ Will contract stability and policy outlook be affected by upcoming ballots? Our Insight Members can download the full briefing through the link in the comments section. #Elections2025 #ElectionsForecast #FrontierMarkets #EmergingMarkets #riskforecasting #PangeaRisk

#Uzbekistan – Economic development remains a key focus amid political infighting and rising security concerns. 🤔 Is a recent high-profile assassination attempt a sign of infighting among #political elites?  ⚠️ Do Uzbek foreign fighters pose a threat to the #security environment inside Uzbekistan? 🧐 Are the government’s economic reforms paying dividends? Our Insight Members can download the full briefing through the link in the comments section. #Mirziyoyev #IMU #Aripov #SEZ #Navoi #ISKP #riskforecasting #PangeaRisk 

2024 in Review – PANGEA-RISK reviews the most notable country risk trends of 2024 📈 Which Frontier & Emerging Markets saw a real improvement in #countryrisk in 2024? 📉 Where did we see a deterioration in risk indicators like #nonpayment and #unrest? 🤔 Looking towards #2025, which countries could do very well over the coming year? Our Insight Members can download the full briefing through the link in the comments section. #EmergingMarkets #FrontierMarkets #Kenya #Ghana #Uzbekistan #Turkiye #riskforecasting #PangeaRisk 

#Senegal – Balancing an ambitious populist agenda with fiscal and economic imperatives ⚠️ When will #French troops withdraw from Senegal? 🛢️ Is increased #oil and #gas production on track for 2025? 🤔 What is the impact of #transparency audits in extractive sectors? Our Insight Members can download the full briefing through the link in the comments section. #Dakar #Sangomar #GrandTortueAhmeyim #Diomaye #OusmaneSonko #riskforecasting #PangeaRisk 

#SouthSudan – Heightened coup risks amid election postponement and economic crisis 🗳️ Why is the latest #election delay a double-edged sword? ⚠️ What was behind a shootout in #Juba involving a former spy chief? 🛢️ Which alternative #oil export routes is the landlocked country exploring? Our Insight Members can download the full briefing through the link in the comments section. #SalvaKiir #RiekMachar #Coup #Insecurity #Tumaini #riskforecasting #PangeaRisk

#Uganda – Government plans drastic spending cuts amid financing challenges in hydrocarbons sector 💰 Will financing challenges trigger delays to the construction of the Uganda-Tanzania #oil #pipeline? 🛢️ How is the government planning to fund its oil #refinery? 🤔 What is behind the latest arrest of #opposition leader Kizza Besigye? Our Insight Members can download the full briefing through the link in the comments section. #Kampala #EACOP #TotalEnergies #Museveni #Kenya #BankofUganda #shilling #riskforecasting #PangeaRisk 

#Djibouti – Maritime disputes with Somaliland and shifting Horn of Africa alliances challenge trade dominance 🚢 How is #competition for Ethiopian maritime routes shaping relations with #Somaliland? 🤔 How is Djibouti countering #Ethiopia’s pivot to Somaliland’s Berbera port? ➡️ Can partnerships with #SouthSudan and #Egypt help Djibouti reduce vulnerabilities? Our Insight Members can download the full briefing through the link in the comments section. #BerberaPort #Doraleh #TadjouraPort #Baloh #Damerjog #DPWorld #RiskForecasting #PangeaRisk 

#Syria – Collapse of Assad’s rule could expose internal fractures and spark regional power scramble 🤔 How has Assad’s sudden fall reshaped the power balance in Syria after 14 years of civil #war? 🧐 Can #opposition groups forge a #unified government amid external and internal challenges? ⚠️ What does Iran’s weakened influence in Syria mean for its regional ambitions and #security strategy? Our Insight Members can download the full briefing through the link in the comments section. #Damascus #HTS #SDF #SNA #IRGC #Hezbollah #Iran #Israel #RiskForecasting #PangeaRisk 

#Ghana – Strong election mandate boosts pro-business platform of incoming government 🗳️ How did the #NDC secure a strong parliamentary mandate in the 2024 #election? 🤔 What will be the priorities for incoming President #Mahama in his first 120 days? 📑 Will contracts signed by the previous #NPP government be at risk of review? Our Insight Members can download the full briefing through the link in the comments section. #GhanaElections #Accra #goldmining #oil #cocoa #Bawumia #IMF #WorldBank #riskforecasting #PangeaRisk